{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "786abd4f-27e7-4327-b3e6-831dffd4c606",
    "symbol": "TATAPOWER",
    "name": "Tata Power Company Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 66.403,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -30.874,
    "architecture_energy": 33.891,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.18,
    "architecture_confidence": 52.51,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.73,
        "rotation_up": 23.68,
        "upward_expansion": 12.39,
        "deceleration": 52.57,
        "rotation_down": 53.92,
        "downward_expansion": 51.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        378.969997,
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        392.957099,
        394.421077
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 380.549988,
    "trend_reference": 391.208701,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.027246,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 380.397825,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.0004,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.809796,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.039896,
    "excess_performance": 0.083605,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027246,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001099,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0004,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.183203,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018098,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162541,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039896,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.029221,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11153736,
      "relative_activity": 0.468476,
      "balance": 1.029221,
      "dry_up": 0.677458,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046038,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.216227,
      "from_high_reference": -0.176365,
      "from_low_reference": 0.111095
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 391.208701,
      "fair_value_reference": 380.397825,
      "structural_low": 356.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.054211,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014206,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.11039,
        "worst_return": -0.001967,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023859,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.079846,
        "worst_return": 0.079846,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.05291,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.187155,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.05291,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.129139,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.059803,
        "worst_return": 0.059803,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.120005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.022898,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -0.295138,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": -24.136907,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 28408329.35,
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        "fair_value": 377.59961,
        "relative_strength": -1.770906,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.03691,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 374.399994,
        "volume": 13512123,
        "typical_volume": 28029812.2,
        "trend": 391.097034,
        "fair_value": 378.511137,
        "relative_strength": -0.16785,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.004015,
        "energy": 54.122782,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 380.700012,
        "volume": 21660663,
        "typical_volume": 26287917.85,
        "trend": 390.683701,
        "fair_value": 379.456706,
        "relative_strength": -1.024794,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.472466,
        "energy": 44.315912,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 380.549988,
        "volume": 11153736,
        "typical_volume": 23808574.75,
        "trend": 391.208701,
        "fair_value": 380.397825,
        "relative_strength": -1.809796,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.873879,
        "energy": 33.890614,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}