{ "ticker": { "uuid": "786b2233-e663-4dbb-b898-cc282be89d61", "symbol": "600892", "name": "Dasheng Times Cultural Investment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -13.912, "architecture_energy": 11.62, "architecture_maturity": 30.454, "architecture_confidence": 43.898, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.69, "rotation_up": 21.5, "upward_expansion": 14.59, "deceleration": 61.26, "rotation_down": 38.23, "downward_expansion": 64.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.540667, 3.497273, 3.595286, 3.627097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.12, "trend_reference": 3.661, "distance_from_trend": 0.125376, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.136218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.003921, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.889793, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.087071, "excess_performance": 0.130275, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.125376, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018411, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.003921, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075083, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.128898, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101054, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087071, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.693936, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 242254600, "relative_activity": 5.481486, "balance": 1.693936, "dry_up": 2.268024, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098021, "annualized_volatility": 0.412455, "from_high_reference": -0.100437, "from_low_reference": 0.401361 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.661, "fair_value_reference": 4.136218, "structural_low": 2.97, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.056743, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.034712, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.43804, "worst_return": -0.255814, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.127652, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.050083, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.393484, "worst_return": -0.19837, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.074227, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.094382, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.281106, "worst_return": -0.050992, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.448979, "energy": 64.20501, "activity_lines": [ 3.402, 3.530545, 3.629095, 3.655742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.02, "volume": 41887801, "typical_volume": 33535579.25, "trend": 3.658333, "fair_value": 4.164615, "relative_strength": -14.099462, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.908926, "energy": 73.640211, "activity_lines": [ 3.254667, 3.414182, 3.568714, 3.613806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.39, "volume": 54629300, "typical_volume": 34793359.25, "trend": 3.645667, "fair_value": 4.147051, "relative_strength": -4.07926, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.065384, "energy": 60.846955, "activity_lines": [ 3.272667, 3.383455, 3.546667, 3.596495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.12, "volume": 242254600, "typical_volume": 44195059.25, "trend": 3.661, "fair_value": 4.136218, "relative_strength": 12.889793, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.912482, "energy": 11.619564, "activity_lines": [ 3.540667, 3.497273, 3.595286, 3.627097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }