{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7888a710-e0d4-485f-9ef8-b180fc0c1bd8", "symbol": "002698", "name": "Harbin Boshi Automation Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -19.094, "architecture_energy": 13.299, "architecture_maturity": 82.079, "architecture_confidence": 61.279, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.53, "rotation_up": 33.96, "upward_expansion": 21.89, "deceleration": 40.59, "rotation_down": 20.95, "downward_expansion": 53.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.07, 12.710802, 12.842855, 13.266914 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13.68, "trend_reference": 14.080085, "distance_from_trend": -0.028415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.981709, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.086887, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.98754, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.168389, "excess_performance": -0.175789, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.028415, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079633, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.086887, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070162, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.129875, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106981, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.168389, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.88301, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 133069950, "relative_activity": 2.190305, "balance": 0.88301, "dry_up": 1.646097, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099922, "annualized_volatility": 0.461461, "from_high_reference": -0.278861, "from_low_reference": 0.260488 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.080085, "fair_value_reference": 14.981709, "structural_low": 10.852941, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.03553, "positive_rate": 0.681818, "directional_follow_through": 0.318182, "median_excess_return": 0.011137, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.320988, "worst_return": -0.230359, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.066647, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.036406, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.493319, "worst_return": -0.198113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.104329, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.131299, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.515178, "worst_return": 0.018822, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.77833, "energy": 29.960678, "activity_lines": [ 12.375634, 12.309487, 12.847796, 13.486737 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.4, "volume": 91187781, "typical_volume": 53267087.0, "trend": 14.280418, "fair_value": 15.032901, "relative_strength": -19.479999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.546466, "energy": 21.728103, "activity_lines": [ 12.442078, 12.272168, 12.761975, 13.356259 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.4, "volume": 90547032, "typical_volume": 55750533.1, "trend": 14.184418, "fair_value": 15.004768, "relative_strength": -10.998842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.419785, "energy": 17.848376, "activity_lines": [ 12.772706, 12.458485, 12.78501, 13.299457 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.68, "volume": 133069950, "typical_volume": 60754071.55, "trend": 14.080085, "fair_value": 14.981709, "relative_strength": -12.98754, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.094381, "energy": 13.298537, "activity_lines": [ 13.07, 12.710802, 12.842855, 13.266914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }