{ "ticker": { "uuid": "789221d0-344b-440d-a4b1-3e1449780d89", "symbol": "BU", "name": "Burcon NutraScience Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.126, "architecture_energy": 73.956, "architecture_maturity": 7.615, "architecture_confidence": 86.825, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.61, "rotation_up": 9.49, "upward_expansion": 17.19, "deceleration": 37.08, "rotation_down": 74.92, "downward_expansion": 92.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.824667, 1.892727, 1.972524, 2.012409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.89, "trend_reference": 2.032667, "distance_from_trend": -0.070187, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.571955, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.26515, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.648214, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.05, "excess_performance": -0.070421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070187, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021612, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.26515, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030142, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196482, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013872, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.573896, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 600, "relative_activity": 0.056684, "balance": 0.573896, "dry_up": 0.807747, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072853, "annualized_volatility": 0.506871, "from_high_reference": -0.367893, "from_low_reference": 0.251656 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.032667, "fair_value_reference": 2.571955, "structural_low": 1.68, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": -0.071429, "positive_rate": 0.255814, "directional_follow_through": 0.697674, "median_excess_return": -0.073112, "regime_survival": 0.906977, "best_return": 0.692307, "worst_return": -0.347826, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.212471, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.241563, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.714285, "worst_return": -0.446602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.363684, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.443599, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.142857, "worst_return": -0.61745, "sufficient": true }, { 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13.801834, "activity_lines": [ 2.084, 2.094364, 2.107571, 2.06557 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 2.2, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 18975.0, "trend": 2.003333, "fair_value": 2.625835, "relative_strength": -13.652033, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.304767, "energy": 20.099575, "activity_lines": [ 2.135333, 2.108182, 2.117095, 2.079118 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 1.95, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 18375.0, "trend": 2.008333, "fair_value": 2.620308, "relative_strength": -21.579437, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.730453, "energy": 9.512347, "activity_lines": [ 2.09, 2.076909, 2.101571, 2.075677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.0, "volume": 7000, "typical_volume": 17680.0, "trend": 2.019, "fair_value": 2.61086, "relative_strength": -18.736011, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.281303, "energy": 12.044189, "activity_lines": [ 2.065333, 2.059273, 2.090095, 2.07514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.9, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 15190.0, "trend": 2.025333, "fair_value": 2.602891, "relative_strength": -21.578725, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.514014, "energy": 28.553907, "activity_lines": [ 2.003333, 2.028, 2.069048, 2.067462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.86, "volume": 6100, "typical_volume": 14105.0, "trend": 2.028333, "fair_value": 2.594666, "relative_strength": -21.889958, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.374241, "energy": 53.970514, "activity_lines": [ 1.933333, 1.996545, 2.045619, 2.056796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.7, "volume": 19300, "typical_volume": 11885.0, "trend": 2.023667, "fair_value": 2.586476, "relative_strength": -27.881346, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -53.765302, "energy": 69.231313, "activity_lines": [ 1.839333, 1.939455, 2.009333, 2.035613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.8, "volume": 8200, "typical_volume": 11490.0, "trend": 2.026, "fair_value": 2.578927, "relative_strength": -22.106902, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.73461, "energy": 74.171505, "activity_lines": [ 1.812, 1.906, 1.98581, 2.021183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.89, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 10585.0, "trend": 2.032667, "fair_value": 2.571955, "relative_strength": -19.648214, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.125864, "energy": 73.956328, "activity_lines": [ 1.824667, 1.892727, 1.972524, 2.012409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }