{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7896035f-b0d9-4423-b607-4c55780c56f5",
    "symbol": "5903",
    "name": "Taiwan FamilyMart Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 51.8,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 6.309,
    "architecture_energy": 15.585,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.852,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.086,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.22,
        "rotation_up": 41.38,
        "upward_expansion": 34.81,
        "deceleration": 38.17,
        "rotation_down": 18.43,
        "downward_expansion": 43.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        183.632187,
        182.960173,
        182.63545,
        183.028913
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 185.0,
    "trend_reference": 183.711023,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.007016,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 177.422631,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042708,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -29.123724,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.014966,
    "excess_performance": -0.456338,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007016,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003992,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042708,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011445,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.291237,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052095,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014966,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.701032,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 97658,
      "relative_activity": 0.703339,
      "balance": 1.701032,
      "dry_up": 1.050843,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01274,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.043641,
      "from_high_reference": -0.042055,
      "from_low_reference": 0.032825
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 183.711023,
      "fair_value_reference": 177.422631,
      "structural_low": 179.120374,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.005305,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017276,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.081794,
        "worst_return": -0.023747,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.036298,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01043,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.079156,
        "worst_return": -0.065637,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.03986,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037168,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.150396,
        "worst_return": -0.033801,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.052789,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.100526,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.080826,
        "worst_return": -0.265144,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02122,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.01616,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01626,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.002645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005249,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.065104,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007335,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.008939,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022959,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.023438,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028133,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.005249,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008174,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 185.857788,
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        "typical_volume": 143550.0,
        "trend": 181.654368,
        "fair_value": 193.171708,
        "relative_strength": -2.243911,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.510013,
        "energy": 49.004938,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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      },
      {
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 7.659487,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 183.465607,
        "volume": 175506,
        "typical_volume": 208719.15,
        "trend": 185.074954,
        "fair_value": 177.441172,
        "relative_strength": -33.060118,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 35.94146,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 177.436584,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 184.946207,
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        "relative_strength": -35.859186,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -58.098229,
        "energy": 35.065271,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 182.982803,
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        "typical_volume": 198766.8,
        "trend": 184.897926,
        "fair_value": 177.435663,
        "relative_strength": -34.333197,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "direction": -58.340969,
        "energy": 46.015612,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 181.534393,
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        "typical_volume": 203961.45,
        "trend": 184.736991,
        "fair_value": 177.44105,
        "relative_strength": -35.738445,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.326293,
        "energy": 62.872399,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.532187,
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          184.054169,
          184.38034
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 180.568787,
        "volume": 198233,
        "typical_volume": 204437.8,
        "trend": 184.527776,
        "fair_value": 177.420988,
        "relative_strength": -38.779755,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.538987,
        "energy": 73.020026,
        "activity_lines": [
          181.791888,
          182.526335,
          183.672524,
          184.111423
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 182.5,
        "volume": 279930,
        "typical_volume": 197600.65,
        "trend": 184.447309,
        "fair_value": 177.424311,
        "relative_strength": -37.720313,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.671964,
        "energy": 60.162772,
        "activity_lines": [
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          183.980599
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 182.5,
        "volume": 124595,
        "typical_volume": 188786.4,
        "trend": 184.350748,
        "fair_value": 177.438638,
        "relative_strength": -35.609953,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.920551,
        "energy": 54.631149,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.017197,
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          183.323066,
          183.854966
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 181.534393,
        "volume": 101341,
        "typical_volume": 184364.8,
        "trend": 184.270281,
        "fair_value": 177.438523,
        "relative_strength": -38.273762,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.855929,
        "energy": 42.689933,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 181.534393,
        "volume": 127812,
        "typical_volume": 178651.8,
        "trend": 184.189814,
        "fair_value": 177.430153,
        "relative_strength": -34.780465,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.889611,
        "energy": 37.161547,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 182.017197,
        "volume": 116628,
        "typical_volume": 167186.7,
        "trend": 184.07716,
        "fair_value": 177.433132,
        "relative_strength": -36.827339,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.690261,
        "energy": 33.202397,
        "activity_lines": [
          181.888449,
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          182.635645,
          183.356588
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 182.5,
        "volume": 108285,
        "typical_volume": 155667.85,
        "trend": 183.980599,
        "fair_value": 177.439206,
        "relative_strength": -33.775541,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.324648,
        "energy": 26.747917,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.049384,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 181.534393,
        "volume": 149742,
        "typical_volume": 152429.3,
        "trend": 183.851851,
        "fair_value": 177.428085,
        "relative_strength": -29.082926,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.204238,
        "energy": 30.256375,
        "activity_lines": [
          181.888449,
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          182.348262,
          183.097016
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 182.5,
        "volume": 91574,
        "typical_volume": 143554.8,
        "trend": 183.771384,
        "fair_value": 177.423154,
        "relative_strength": -29.433813,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.406561,
        "energy": 20.073059,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.113757,
          181.99964,
          182.30228,
          183.0098
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 182.982803,
        "volume": 159690,
        "typical_volume": 140491.55,
        "trend": 183.723104,
        "fair_value": 177.429572,
        "relative_strength": -27.463766,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.61945,
        "energy": 14.356929,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.435626,
          182.20154,
          182.32757,
          182.958924
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 183.5,
        "volume": 234712,
        "typical_volume": 143780.6,
        "trend": 183.692063,
        "fair_value": 177.433802,
        "relative_strength": -28.139444,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.347188,
        "energy": 8.374417,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.833333,
          182.47114,
          182.409014,
          182.94453
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 185.0,
        "volume": 97658,
        "typical_volume": 138849.05,
        "trend": 183.711023,
        "fair_value": 177.422631,
        "relative_strength": -29.123724,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.308761,
        "energy": 15.584772,
        "activity_lines": [
          183.632187,
          182.960173,
          182.63545,
          183.028913
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}