{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78972a7d-baf4-439b-b8bc-f4c716a57e8d", "symbol": "600935", "name": "Anhui Hwasu Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.861, "architecture_energy": 47.242, "architecture_maturity": 58.871, "architecture_confidence": 87.937, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.42, "rotation_up": 27.61, "upward_expansion": 7.88, "deceleration": 59.7, "rotation_down": 45.33, "downward_expansion": 78.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.262667, 2.266, 2.357, 2.465978 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.29, "trend_reference": 2.585667, "distance_from_trend": -0.114348, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.680611, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.145717, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.192008, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.182143, "excess_performance": -0.138939, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.114348, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03807, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.145717, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087706, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10192, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036824, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.182143, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.458139, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 66333001, "relative_activity": 0.524649, "balance": 0.458139, "dry_up": 0.541846, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061471, "annualized_volatility": 0.377281, "from_high_reference": -0.334302, "from_low_reference": 0.0553 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.585667, "fair_value_reference": 2.680611, "structural_low": 2.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.02024, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.019787, "regime_survival": 0.913043, "best_return": 0.098131, "worst_return": -0.194529, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.04196, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.023316, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.100612, "worst_return": -0.210884, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.025603, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.041529, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.105932, "worst_return": -0.311573, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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2.709849, "relative_strength": -9.392282, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.312168, "energy": 72.402847, "activity_lines": [ 2.255333, 2.296364, 2.434095, 2.530817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.21, "volume": 64957596, "typical_volume": 178045027.8, "trend": 2.597333, "fair_value": 2.699861, "relative_strength": -11.092967, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.790125, "energy": 63.934521, "activity_lines": [ 2.239333, 2.269636, 2.399286, 2.505226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.29, "volume": 61122200, "typical_volume": 152111001.9, "trend": 2.591, "fair_value": 2.69045, "relative_strength": -7.989593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.350804, "energy": 53.757179, "activity_lines": [ 2.250667, 2.266364, 2.375857, 2.485398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.29, "volume": 66333001, "typical_volume": 126433090.15, "trend": 2.585667, "fair_value": 2.680611, "relative_strength": -10.192008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.861381, "energy": 47.24233, "activity_lines": [ 2.262667, 2.266, 2.357, 2.465978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }