{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78a0f166-1858-4ce3-bc4a-150944a92480", "symbol": "GOAI", "name": "Eva Live Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.985, "architecture_energy": 71.62, "architecture_maturity": 46.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.258, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 17.3, "upward_expansion": 14.55, "deceleration": 41.37, "rotation_down": 69.58, "downward_expansion": 90.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.995333, 2.215818, 2.662929, 3.040441 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.77, "trend_reference": 3.557167, "distance_from_trend": -0.502413, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.003315, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.410651, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -61.213708, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.465257, "excess_performance": -0.65271, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.502413, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184094, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.410651, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.617018, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.612137, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.370194, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.465257, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.119029, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 495603, "relative_activity": 0.458201, "balance": 0.119029, "dry_up": 3.192345, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.346754, "annualized_volatility": 0.926893, "from_high_reference": -0.901667, "from_low_reference": 0.047337 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.557167, "fair_value_reference": 3.003315, "structural_low": 1.69, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.423077, "median_excess_return": -0.025685, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 4.333333, "worst_return": -0.324786, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.260504, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": 0.169892, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.356667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.6, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.416997, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.521008, "worst_return": -0.33, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.588462, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.344115, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.184874, "worst_return": -0.026667, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.157895, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.059545, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.313725, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.304348, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.29, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.75, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.228395, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.68, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.08046, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.864407, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.44, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.08006, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.495726, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.92, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 83.9, "trend": 2.430667, "fair_value": 1.911567, "relative_strength": 5.994002, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", 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"energy": 74.08508, "activity_lines": [ 2.572667, 2.841091, 3.278667, 3.634731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.57, "volume": 152030, "typical_volume": 965757.7, "trend": 4.077167, "fair_value": 3.026264, "relative_strength": -46.407541, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.063106, "energy": 64.82914, "activity_lines": [ 2.555333, 2.748818, 3.17569, 3.534419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.45, "volume": 67165, "typical_volume": 954801.5, "trend": 4.0255, "fair_value": 3.023251, "relative_strength": -46.405288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.466784, "energy": 54.250471, "activity_lines": [ 2.526667, 2.655455, 3.070476, 3.429441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.91, "volume": 12566725, "typical_volume": 1562661.9, "trend": 3.9225, "fair_value": 3.016777, "relative_strength": -57.06731, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.933976, "energy": 56.749895, "activity_lines": [ 2.312667, 2.484364, 2.926643, 3.292957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.97, "volume": 682226, "typical_volume": 1580424.0, "trend": 3.7315, "fair_value": 3.010687, "relative_strength": -55.333466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.707526, "energy": 59.521748, "activity_lines": [ 2.17, 2.353273, 2.798952, 3.166989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.77, "volume": 495603, "typical_volume": 1081627.95, "trend": 3.557167, "fair_value": 3.003315, "relative_strength": -61.213708, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.985094, "energy": 71.620128, "activity_lines": [ 1.995333, 2.215818, 2.662929, 3.040441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }