{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78aa62cf-5947-42c3-b298-8ebcd69f0d47", "symbol": "02826K", "name": "Samsung C&T Corporation", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-28", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.862, "architecture_energy": 21.464, "architecture_maturity": 21.895, "architecture_confidence": 64.731, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.69, "rotation_up": 47.93, "upward_expansion": 62.03, "deceleration": 56.14, "rotation_down": 21.76, "downward_expansion": 19.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 232966.666667, 226963.636364, 230075.714286, 223442.365591 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 238500.0, "trend_reference": 214000.0, "distance_from_trend": 0.114486, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 126364.117739, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.887403, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.343047, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.099078, "excess_performance": 0.011836, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.114486, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129304, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.887403, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123034, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.05343, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.282349, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.099078, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.425591, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42173, "relative_activity": 1.235871, "balance": 1.425591, "dry_up": 0.879137, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142203, "annualized_volatility": 0.670065, "from_high_reference": -0.180412, "from_low_reference": 1.122442 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 214000.0, "fair_value_reference": 126364.117739, "structural_low": 160200.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.017205, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.006523, "regime_survival": 0.55, "best_return": 0.343784, "worst_return": -0.124514, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.076967, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.005639, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.435179, "worst_return": -0.15005, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058092, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.003979, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.514595, "worst_return": -0.160266, "sufficient": true }, 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210430.0, "fair_value": 124244.246094, "relative_strength": -2.097267, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.385358, "energy": 14.345721, "activity_lines": [ 214733.333333, 222936.363636, 226162.857143, 219363.010753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 247500.0, "volume": 33748, "typical_volume": 33138.05, "trend": 212340.0, "fair_value": 125342.531801, "relative_strength": 7.309574, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.239859, "energy": 16.443601, "activity_lines": [ 226800.0, 225963.636364, 228732.380952, 221754.623656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-28", "close": 238500.0, "volume": 42173, "typical_volume": 34124.1, "trend": 214000.0, "fair_value": 126364.117739, "relative_strength": 5.343047, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.861513, "energy": 21.463568, "activity_lines": [ 232966.666667, 226963.636364, 230075.714286, 223442.365591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }