{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "78ab539d-b6b6-4956-a2b1-b9d1577f366b",
    "symbol": "8298",
    "name": "Genie Networks Limited",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 10.661,
    "architecture_energy": 14.575,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.066,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.327,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.51,
        "rotation_up": 20.67,
        "upward_expansion": 43.23,
        "deceleration": 79.74,
        "rotation_down": 35.37,
        "downward_expansion": 32.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        45.626667,
        46.998877,
        48.148461,
        46.170315
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 46.150002,
    "trend_reference": 42.145865,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.095007,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.111312,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.767433,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.767448,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.634635,
    "excess_performance": 0.193263,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095007,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177951,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.767433,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129151,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007674,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.170422,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.634635,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.079847,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 158340,
      "relative_activity": 0.644238,
      "balance": 1.079847,
      "dry_up": 0.326906,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.124452,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.857887,
      "from_high_reference": -0.246937,
      "from_low_reference": 1.481596
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.145865,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.111312,
      "structural_low": 26.835428,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.033898,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001147,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.47504,
        "worst_return": -0.020979,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.003899,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029667,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.40678,
        "worst_return": -0.076338,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.01061,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010737,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.725424,
        "worst_return": -0.275862,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.088127,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11242,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.038443,
        "worst_return": -0.296552,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048319,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.021983,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024336,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018519,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.009852,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004728,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047619,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
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        "return": 0.326531,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
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        "return": 0.552542,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "typical_volume": 289250.65,
        "trend": 30.904905,
        "fair_value": 23.721869,
        "relative_strength": 30.306005,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 24.031026,
        "relative_strength": 17.809661,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 290018.55,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 298668.75,
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        "relative_strength": 14.396563,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 38.464978,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 54.730782,
        "volume": 250525,
        "typical_volume": 301461.9,
        "trend": 35.778964,
        "fair_value": 24.56225,
        "relative_strength": 27.130932,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.668811,
        "energy": 43.060488,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 313209.1,
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        "relative_strength": 17.293485,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 37.843765,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 310530.95,
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        "fair_value": 24.94866,
        "relative_strength": 20.939742,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 13.473592,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 320804.85,
        "trend": 38.521927,
        "fair_value": 25.301502,
        "relative_strength": 7.663602,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 32.54098,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 53.0,
        "volume": 105789,
        "typical_volume": 325266.05,
        "trend": 39.196547,
        "fair_value": 25.500335,
        "relative_strength": 19.292713,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 44.349998,
        "volume": 154993,
        "typical_volume": 330482.35,
        "trend": 39.839787,
        "fair_value": 25.621919,
        "relative_strength": 5.658436,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.105453,
        "energy": 18.691608,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 45.950001,
        "volume": 39297,
        "typical_volume": 323212.05,
        "trend": 40.431973,
        "fair_value": 25.743589,
        "relative_strength": 6.528113,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.422599,
        "energy": 17.328929,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.552477,
          49.088526,
          48.613126,
          45.294838
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.0,
        "volume": 89588,
        "typical_volume": 325962.65,
        "trend": 40.951129,
        "fair_value": 25.865322,
        "relative_strength": 2.881527,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.236124,
        "energy": 11.699284,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.126381,
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          48.391746,
          45.525033
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.349998,
        "volume": 34161,
        "typical_volume": 324986.45,
        "trend": 41.547012,
        "fair_value": 25.991949,
        "relative_strength": 5.230392,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.149145,
        "energy": 16.381319,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.819999,
          47.525085,
          48.322305,
          45.873348
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 46.150002,
        "volume": 158340,
        "typical_volume": 245778.7,
        "trend": 42.145865,
        "fair_value": 26.111312,
        "relative_strength": 0.767448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.660844,
        "energy": 14.575252,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.626667,
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          48.148461,
          46.170315
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}