{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78b03a2f-14c9-40d7-a8ac-c6739dc2d391", "symbol": "GIS", "name": "General Mills, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.949, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -1.844, "architecture_energy": 16.916, "architecture_maturity": 18.462, "architecture_confidence": 59.368, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.92, "rotation_up": 40.24, "upward_expansion": 36.22, "deceleration": 42.1, "rotation_down": 16.25, "downward_expansion": 42.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.756666, 31.523028, 30.684368, 31.226828 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 31.4, "trend_reference": 32.619869, "distance_from_trend": -0.037396, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.329581, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.336567, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.194011, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.215145, "excess_performance": -0.389392, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037396, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07491, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.336567, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070791, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.29194, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066664, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.215145, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.946429, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 2.946429, "dry_up": 0.912493, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050038, "annualized_volatility": 0.28511, "from_high_reference": -0.249509, "from_low_reference": 0.156807 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.619869, "fair_value_reference": 47.329581, "structural_low": 27.143692, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.042141, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.019846, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.083143, "worst_return": -0.048801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.02774, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.041527, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.222825, "worst_return": -0.108918, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.068085, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.135326, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.140333, "worst_return": -0.23669, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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42.790983, "activity_lines": [ 32.252634, 30.946258, 30.451044, 31.532482 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.629999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 125.25, "trend": 33.020157, "fair_value": 47.67509, "relative_strength": -28.177341, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.575029, "energy": 31.053416, "activity_lines": [ 32.279971, 31.22609, 30.524624, 31.428386 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.299999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 111.2, "trend": 32.803985, "fair_value": 47.499128, "relative_strength": -28.093174, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.082519, "energy": 21.418289, "activity_lines": [ 32.00155, 31.387196, 30.592894, 31.317408 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.4, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 86.85, "trend": 32.619869, "fair_value": 47.329581, "relative_strength": -29.194011, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.844388, "energy": 16.915571, "activity_lines": [ 31.756666, 31.523028, 30.684368, 31.226828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }