{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "78c2ec0c-83b4-48e3-b040-967e02539537",
    "symbol": "UNCU",
    "name": "First Trust US Equity Income UCITS ETF Class B",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.458,
    "architecture_energy": 83.599,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.292,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.739,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.21,
        "rotation_up": 84.25,
        "upward_expansion": 95.92,
        "deceleration": 42.55,
        "rotation_down": 9.93,
        "downward_expansion": 17.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        49.723668,
        48.996318,
        47.862536,
        47.058919
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 50.240002,
    "trend_reference": 46.043083,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091152,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.255897,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279808,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.976335,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.101754,
    "excess_performance": 0.050519,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091152,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057083,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279808,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071214,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059763,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0197,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101754,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.249722,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6328,
      "relative_activity": 2.061104,
      "balance": 7.249722,
      "dry_up": 1.266774,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021442,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.122727,
      "from_high_reference": -0.014999,
      "from_low_reference": 0.294428
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 46.043083,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.255897,
      "structural_low": 43.4375,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.003606,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.464286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006492,
        "regime_survival": 0.678571,
        "best_return": 0.072785,
        "worst_return": -0.114416,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.008868,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011031,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.071678,
        "worst_return": -0.048176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.034666,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021004,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.100406,
        "worst_return": -0.022093,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.073968,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020143,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.15996,
        "worst_return": -0.022478,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047918,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 42.717667,
        "fair_value": 37.766699,
        "relative_strength": 4.435423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 86.982941,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 3332.3,
        "trend": 43.3205,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 61.602923,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 4048.4,
        "trend": 43.797833,
        "fair_value": 38.28774,
        "relative_strength": 3.868833,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 72.950642,
        "energy": 58.544809,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 3.653431,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 44.533,
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        "relative_strength": 5.475477,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.581157,
        "energy": 79.754423,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.485543
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2051.1,
        "trend": 44.752,
        "fair_value": 38.725336,
        "relative_strength": 3.684576,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.87937,
        "energy": 80.861217,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 48.224998,
        "volume": 7209,
        "typical_volume": 2389.7,
        "trend": 44.959666,
        "fair_value": 38.833061,
        "relative_strength": 6.188426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.863383,
        "energy": 72.389953,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.508762,
          45.92522
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 49.665001,
        "volume": 6939,
        "typical_volume": 2736.65,
        "trend": 45.231,
        "fair_value": 38.942644,
        "relative_strength": 8.154182,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.822472,
        "energy": 92.240512,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.474,
          47.80809,
          46.87344,
          46.22879
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 49.450001,
        "volume": 1762,
        "typical_volume": 2810.85,
        "trend": 45.501333,
        "fair_value": 39.044888,
        "relative_strength": 6.210033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.452198,
        "energy": 87.861739,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.950667,
          48.217545,
          47.196143,
          46.500984
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 49.6875,
        "volume": 528,
        "typical_volume": 2812.6,
        "trend": 45.778166,
        "fair_value": 39.14851,
        "relative_strength": 5.270362,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.784838,
        "energy": 83.934747,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.303834,
          48.586909,
          47.517476,
          46.771059
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50.240002,
        "volume": 6328,
        "typical_volume": 3070.2,
        "trend": 46.043083,
        "fair_value": 39.255897,
        "relative_strength": 5.976335,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.457688,
        "energy": 83.599404,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.723668,
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          47.862536,
          47.058919
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}