{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78c404a2-34f5-4428-8871-2237c21e8045", "symbol": "EVTC", "name": "Evertec Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 93.14, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.102, "architecture_energy": 44.116, "architecture_maturity": 13.994, "architecture_confidence": 47.489, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.33, "rotation_up": 63.66, "upward_expansion": 57.75, "deceleration": 24.57, "rotation_down": 18.69, "downward_expansion": 16.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.967162, 29.194535, 27.845532, 27.727361 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.85, "trend_reference": 27.769303, "distance_from_trend": 0.074928, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.328571, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.104372, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.31965, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.109089, "excess_performance": -0.016536, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074928, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011259, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.104372, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.193968, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093197, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.230236, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.109089, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.767098, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2316679, "relative_activity": 0.899498, "balance": 0.767098, "dry_up": 0.793129, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094727, "annualized_volatility": 0.46256, "from_high_reference": -0.203912, "from_low_reference": 0.371297 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.769303, "fair_value_reference": 33.328571, "structural_low": 21.76772, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.012415, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006489, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.063676, "worst_return": -0.037469, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.044317, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.073543, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.037222, "worst_return": -0.065366, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.009096, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.047779, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.087093, "worst_return": -0.178581, "sufficient": false }, { 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"energy": 32.686658, "activity_lines": [ 29.141784, 27.544209, 27.088527, 27.293496 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.682295, "volume": 1784825, "typical_volume": 2631768.4, "trend": 27.715233, "fair_value": 33.452158, "relative_strength": -7.032078, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.892208, "energy": 41.166323, "activity_lines": [ 29.562753, 28.148682, 27.318627, 27.420916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.391155, "volume": 2023117, "typical_volume": 2601440.95, "trend": 27.776023, "fair_value": 33.3915, "relative_strength": -5.19301, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.753874, "energy": 48.539463, "activity_lines": [ 29.955855, 28.771997, 27.610503, 27.593556 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.85, "volume": 2316679, "typical_volume": 2575523.2, "trend": 27.769303, "fair_value": 33.328571, "relative_strength": -9.31965, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.102457, "energy": 44.115992, "activity_lines": [ 29.967162, 29.194535, 27.845532, 27.727361 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }