{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78cd4f93-e810-4940-9e1c-39b83f0eed66", "symbol": "PSTC", "name": "Power Solution Technologies Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 94.428, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.28, "architecture_energy": 77.842, "architecture_maturity": 34.743, "architecture_confidence": 79.197, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.68, "rotation_up": 75.58, "upward_expansion": 93.13, "deceleration": 43.83, "rotation_down": 11.94, "downward_expansion": 17.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.354667, 0.344, 0.320286, 0.306022 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.36, "trend_reference": 0.291667, "distance_from_trend": 0.234286, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.493205, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.270081, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.979237, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.384615, "excess_performance": 0.19229, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.234286, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076261, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.270081, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.267539, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009792, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.340946, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.384615, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.091802, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4460300, "relative_activity": 0.387402, "balance": 7.091802, "dry_up": 0.326375, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07265, "annualized_volatility": 0.454344, "from_high_reference": -0.181818, "from_low_reference": 0.894737 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.291667, "fair_value_reference": 0.493205, "structural_low": 0.23, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.015267, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.00737, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.16129, "worst_return": -0.122807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.068489, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.053447, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.12069, "worst_return": -0.244444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.192982, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.027921, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.163793, "worst_return": -0.303704, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.860076, "energy": 81.784162, "activity_lines": [ 0.323333, 0.308182, 0.290952, 0.284839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.32, "volume": 6676000, "typical_volume": 16856440.0, "trend": 0.281333, "fair_value": 0.513013, "relative_strength": -14.033868, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.24819, "energy": 72.575442, "activity_lines": [ 0.324, 0.312545, 0.294667, 0.287441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.36, "volume": 2740500, "typical_volume": 16416935.0, "trend": 0.284667, "fair_value": 0.508205, "relative_strength": -3.27932, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.262387, "energy": 81.876202, "activity_lines": [ 0.336, 0.323273, 0.302048, 0.292516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.36, "volume": 5888600, "typical_volume": 16063600.0, "trend": 0.287, "fair_value": 0.503397, "relative_strength": -2.649826, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.528528, "energy": 81.866519, "activity_lines": [ 0.346, 0.332182, 0.308952, 0.297376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.35, "volume": 1941300, "typical_volume": 15269600.0, "trend": 0.289, "fair_value": 0.498141, "relative_strength": -3.283583, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.370446, "energy": 70.919555, "activity_lines": [ 0.349333, 0.337818, 0.314381, 0.301441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.36, "volume": 4460300, "typical_volume": 11513370.0, "trend": 0.291667, "fair_value": 0.493205, "relative_strength": 0.979237, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.280091, "energy": 77.842082, "activity_lines": [ 0.354667, 0.344, 0.320286, 0.306022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }