{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "78dbb0a1-3b59-46dd-8628-6d27dd494e49",
    "symbol": "RSKD",
    "name": "Riskified Ltd",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.66,
    "architecture_energy": 52.214,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.201,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.78,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.46,
        "rotation_up": 60.62,
        "upward_expansion": 83.22,
        "deceleration": 52.76,
        "rotation_down": 21.36,
        "downward_expansion": 7.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.210667,
        5.147818,
        4.977,
        4.810043
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 5.35,
    "trend_reference": 4.639333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.153183,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.840192,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.105328,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.449296,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.247086,
    "excess_performance": 0.121461,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153183,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016877,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105328,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112199,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014493,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11443,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.247086,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.283083,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3902684,
      "relative_activity": 0.911625,
      "balance": 3.283083,
      "dry_up": 0.708306,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059576,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.289269,
      "from_high_reference": -0.024613,
      "from_low_reference": 0.445946
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.639333,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.840192,
      "structural_low": 3.7,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.00158,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020604,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.225873,
        "worst_return": -0.264984,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.040568,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.140648,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.260317,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.071984,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.164089,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.246032,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.252381,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "energy": 64.572035,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 4521793.9,
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        "fair_value": 4.828269,
        "relative_strength": 2.047903,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 71.705043,
        "energy": 71.566499,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.699226
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 2711855,
        "typical_volume": 4355772.65,
        "trend": 4.61,
        "fair_value": 4.829808,
        "relative_strength": -0.976798,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 61.65403,
        "energy": 54.820557,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.19,
        "volume": 2501276,
        "typical_volume": 4304735.6,
        "trend": 4.622667,
        "fair_value": 4.832628,
        "relative_strength": 1.571084,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.54652,
        "energy": 48.130665,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.140667,
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          4.915286,
          4.763118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.35,
        "volume": 3902684,
        "typical_volume": 4281021.4,
        "trend": 4.639333,
        "fair_value": 4.840192,
        "relative_strength": 1.449296,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.659691,
        "energy": 52.21426,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}