{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78e4f2df-53e7-4900-ba99-0aef3de716cc", "symbol": "1584", "name": "S-Tech Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.873, "architecture_energy": 62.0, "architecture_maturity": 49.791, "architecture_confidence": 90.532, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.71, "rotation_up": 13.74, "upward_expansion": 13.09, "deceleration": 39.17, "rotation_down": 67.4, "downward_expansion": 88.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.153333, 18.617726, 19.043326, 19.662954 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.15, "trend_reference": 20.681169, "distance_from_trend": -0.12239, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.439395, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.338542, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.017678, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.210652, "excess_performance": -0.652024, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.12239, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046267, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.338542, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020806, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.420177, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020355, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.210652, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.780075, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1792536, "relative_activity": 0.425481, "balance": 0.780075, "dry_up": 0.857522, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076452, "annualized_volatility": 0.247884, "from_high_reference": -0.362502, "from_low_reference": 0.080357 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.681169, "fair_value_reference": 27.439395, "structural_low": 16.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.01227, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.053031, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.469697, "worst_return": -0.098851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.017331, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.089728, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.472393, "worst_return": -0.151584, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.051282, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.123946, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.444785, "worst_return": -0.166288, "sufficient": 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19.422776, 19.433617, 19.731974, 20.409171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.25, "volume": 5199160, "typical_volume": 4283044.5, "trend": 21.154481, "fair_value": 27.706203, "relative_strength": -38.541127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.738991, "energy": 28.504294, "activity_lines": [ 19.376667, 19.397399, 19.631156, 20.280585 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.200001, "volume": 4356444, "typical_volume": 4254298.1, "trend": 20.982741, "fair_value": 27.612832, "relative_strength": -43.466649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.736984, "energy": 47.634791, "activity_lines": [ 18.656667, 18.992823, 19.354806, 20.025457 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.049999, "volume": 3102714, "typical_volume": 4262731.35, "trend": 20.836045, "fair_value": 27.531686, "relative_strength": -41.242365, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.648069, "energy": 55.014432, "activity_lines": [ 18.32, 18.782641, 19.183944, 19.836248 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 18.15, "volume": 1792536, "typical_volume": 4212966.9, "trend": 20.681169, "fair_value": 27.439395, "relative_strength": -42.017678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.873264, "energy": 62.000008, "activity_lines": [ 18.153333, 18.617726, 19.043326, 19.662954 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }