{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "78f20742-95c3-411d-9638-6a29f7850f5c",
    "symbol": "VGI",
    "name": "VGI Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 30.367,
    "architecture_energy": 40.16,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.477,
    "architecture_confidence": 48.802,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.64,
        "rotation_up": 58.21,
        "upward_expansion": 53.93,
        "deceleration": 29.2,
        "rotation_down": 20.73,
        "downward_expansion": 14.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.004667,
        0.985091,
        0.950619,
        0.945656
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1.0,
    "trend_reference": 0.947,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055966,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.868548,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.464825,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -25.70395,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.176471,
    "excess_performance": -0.015854,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055966,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018653,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.464825,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10798,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25704,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234434,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176471,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.986372,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 258921700,
      "relative_activity": 0.486826,
      "balance": 2.986372,
      "dry_up": 1.253959,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076154,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.781884,
      "from_high_reference": -0.561404,
      "from_low_reference": 0.298701
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.947,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.868548,
      "structural_low": 0.82,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.079542,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076553,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.455556,
        "worst_return": 0.023622,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.047244,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037352,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.411112,
        "worst_return": -0.141199,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.160231,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.192747,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.633334,
        "worst_return": -0.364487,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.245656,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.248577,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.151506,
        "worst_return": -0.538191,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-08",
        "end": "2023-09-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-15",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.391791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.214689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.21875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.026087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00685,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.270833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.578496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.097826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029126,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.845244,
        "energy": 48.567937,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 867042200,
        "typical_volume": 570445810.0,
        "trend": 0.941333,
        "fair_value": 1.891023,
        "relative_strength": -30.412191,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.820559,
        "energy": 49.538952,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 298420600,
        "typical_volume": 550726095.0,
        "trend": 0.943,
        "fair_value": 1.879594,
        "relative_strength": -27.894569,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.69947,
        "energy": 50.408004,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.003333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 258921700,
        "typical_volume": 531856255.0,
        "trend": 0.947,
        "fair_value": 1.868548,
        "relative_strength": -25.70395,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.367185,
        "energy": 40.159874,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}