{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "78fc0cba-2d8f-487e-9f13-a9573aa444b7",
    "symbol": "AJ2",
    "name": "Ouhua Energy Holdings Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 52.219,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 18.546,
    "architecture_energy": 21.417,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.518,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.288,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.48,
        "rotation_up": 20.73,
        "upward_expansion": 63.8,
        "deceleration": 91.08,
        "rotation_down": 30.38,
        "downward_expansion": 20.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.050667,
        0.053,
        0.048243,
        0.045471
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.04,
    "trend_reference": 0.044767,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.106478,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.068269,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.414085,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -27.317215,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.322034,
    "excess_performance": -0.476869,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.106478,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00524,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.414085,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128773,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.273172,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117202,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.322034,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.370072,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 53200,
      "relative_activity": 0.415463,
      "balance": 3.370072,
      "dry_up": 0.103866,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128846,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.135803,
      "from_high_reference": -0.42029,
      "from_low_reference": 1.5
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.044767,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.068269,
      "structural_low": 0.021,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.020833,
        "positive_rate": 0.315789,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.315789,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0149,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.132353,
        "worst_return": -0.322034,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.035985,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071093,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.157895,
        "worst_return": -0.571429,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.078652,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016867,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.172414,
        "worst_return": -0.447917,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.133929,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.118955,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.344828,
        "worst_return": -0.577778,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.294118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.054545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.333333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.369565,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.063492,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.322034,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.555556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.142857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.285714,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "volume": 122000,
        "typical_volume": 63345.0,
        "trend": 0.047167,
        "fair_value": 0.070263,
        "relative_strength": -41.720964,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 64.883076,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 383800,
        "typical_volume": 71915.0,
        "trend": 0.046667,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 245000,
        "typical_volume": 76665.0,
        "trend": 0.0456,
        "fair_value": 0.069712,
        "relative_strength": -50.220916,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.674874,
        "energy": 63.325877,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 881400,
        "typical_volume": 109685.0,
        "trend": 0.045033,
        "fair_value": 0.069545,
        "relative_strength": -23.549657,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 45.739697,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 112615.0,
        "trend": 0.044533,
        "fair_value": 0.069397,
        "relative_strength": -18.166908,
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        "energy": 25.617626,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 233900,
        "typical_volume": 124310.0,
        "trend": 0.044267,
        "fair_value": 0.069295,
        "relative_strength": -3.748902,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 13.368482,
        "stage": 1,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 127410.0,
        "trend": 0.045367,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.095044,
        "energy": 58.432482,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 127410.0,
        "trend": 0.045967,
        "fair_value": 0.069096,
        "relative_strength": 9.719581,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.761884,
        "energy": 76.75013,
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          0.054333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 126900.0,
        "trend": 0.0463,
        "fair_value": 0.069038,
        "relative_strength": 9.26652,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.29251,
        "energy": 76.860149,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.056,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 126640.0,
        "trend": 0.0461,
        "fair_value": 0.068968,
        "relative_strength": 5.438619,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.890711,
        "energy": 76.852467,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.056067,
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          0.043858
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.056,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 126640.0,
        "trend": 0.045867,
        "fair_value": 0.068827,
        "relative_strength": 5.288367,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.833466,
        "energy": 66.00689,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.056,
          0.053691,
          0.045795,
          0.044497
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.056,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 125890.0,
        "trend": 0.045633,
        "fair_value": 0.068699,
        "relative_strength": 3.670818,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.445879,
        "energy": 70.027348,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.056,
          0.054891,
          0.0472,
          0.045151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.056,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 125390.0,
        "trend": 0.0454,
        "fair_value": 0.068545,
        "relative_strength": 2.767304,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.24527,
        "energy": 61.929299,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.056,
          0.055545,
          0.048524,
          0.045819
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.04,
        "volume": 53200,
        "typical_volume": 128050.0,
        "trend": 0.044767,
        "fair_value": 0.068269,
        "relative_strength": -27.317215,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.546429,
        "energy": 21.417017,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.050667,
          0.053,
          0.048243,
          0.045471
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}