{ "ticker": { "uuid": "790e7319-7ca3-44a1-9801-f867e8e6a51f", "symbol": "TMIP", "name": "Taylor Maritime Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 76.881, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.444, "architecture_energy": 30.398, "architecture_maturity": 17.932, "architecture_confidence": 92.629, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.58, "rotation_up": 22.07, "upward_expansion": 8.9, "deceleration": 39.11, "rotation_down": 49.77, "downward_expansion": 77.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.575094, 0.580979, 0.581495, 0.585569 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.56, "trend_reference": 0.58895, "distance_from_trend": -0.049156, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.654104, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.143867, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.989258, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.063437, "excess_performance": -0.114672, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049156, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00562, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.143867, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.109893, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060346, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063437, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.860214, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 266046, "relative_activity": 0.863276, "balance": 0.860214, "dry_up": 0.626745, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070441, "annualized_volatility": 0.251255, "from_high_reference": -0.12461, "from_low_reference": 0.119472 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.58895, "fair_value_reference": 0.654104, "structural_low": 0.500236, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.007464, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.00117, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.144579, "worst_return": -0.08735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.015005, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006988, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.184557, "worst_return": -0.097366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.075241, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.104938, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.248014, "worst_return": -0.388988, 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"volume": 431480, "typical_volume": 375413.75, "trend": 0.590111, "fair_value": 0.65688, "relative_strength": -4.97365, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.358136, "energy": 15.467927, "activity_lines": [ 0.587658, 0.582472, 0.5855, 0.588221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.61, "volume": 161953, "typical_volume": 359917.15, "trend": 0.590682, "fair_value": 0.656266, "relative_strength": -1.03358, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.555576, "energy": 14.640572, "activity_lines": [ 0.596726, 0.588015, 0.587311, 0.589504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.575, "volume": 142878, "typical_volume": 346822.6, "trend": 0.590333, "fair_value": 0.655469, "relative_strength": -7.640081, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.738008, "energy": 10.648888, "activity_lines": [ 0.589922, 0.586669, 0.585697, 0.588493 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.575, "volume": 201729, "typical_volume": 334059.5, "trend": 0.589984, "fair_value": 0.654794, "relative_strength": -8.568921, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.745781, "energy": 13.334391, "activity_lines": [ 0.584203, 0.585233, 0.584227, 0.587503 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.56, "volume": 266046, "typical_volume": 308181.75, "trend": 0.58895, "fair_value": 0.654104, "relative_strength": -10.989258, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.443942, "energy": 30.397968, "activity_lines": [ 0.575094, 0.580979, 0.581495, 0.585569 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }