{ "ticker": { "uuid": "791eb123-1ac1-4bdf-8e38-e61e5312477d", "symbol": "688536", "name": "3Peak Incorporated", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.09, "architecture_energy": 26.356, "architecture_maturity": 66.302, "architecture_confidence": 70.36, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.14, "rotation_up": 17.2, "upward_expansion": 45.06, "deceleration": 85.12, "rotation_down": 48.83, "downward_expansion": 36.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 245.120668, 272.775627, 278.087866, 260.184957 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 251.75, "trend_reference": 236.102578, "distance_from_trend": 0.066274, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 149.698573, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.681713, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.9838, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.240637, "excess_performance": 0.283841, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066274, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.234199, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.681713, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075742, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.259838, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157721, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.240637, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.468987, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18390023, "relative_activity": 0.813875, "balance": 2.468987, "dry_up": 1.019394, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.168879, "annualized_volatility": 0.710711, "from_high_reference": -0.308227, "from_low_reference": 0.843242 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 236.102578, "fair_value_reference": 149.698573, "structural_low": 155.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.014399, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.0096, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.375779, "worst_return": -0.097986, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.07447, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.000936, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.742873, "worst_return": -0.104923, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.189054, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.10507, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.356248, "worst_return": 0.021861, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"typical_volume": 22910300.3, "trend": 230.806578, "fair_value": 149.655624, "relative_strength": 28.283513, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.296245, "energy": 22.108341, "activity_lines": [ 275.071335, 295.019744, 282.145459, 259.481526 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 223.0, "volume": 21718201, "typical_volume": 22843927.55, "trend": 233.040245, "fair_value": 149.576778, "relative_strength": 15.695812, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.735058, "energy": 23.650869, "activity_lines": [ 251.237334, 280.59472, 278.855948, 258.977876 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 251.75, "volume": 18390023, "typical_volume": 22595649.05, "trend": 236.102578, "fair_value": 149.698573, "relative_strength": 25.9838, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.090199, "energy": 26.35616, "activity_lines": [ 245.120668, 272.775627, 278.087866, 260.184957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }