{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79306ee9-330d-4fab-bc76-61769526e29f", "symbol": "4316", "name": "BeMap, Inc.", "exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.809, "architecture_energy": 71.091, "architecture_maturity": 84.667, "architecture_confidence": 89.476, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 50.62, "rotation_down": 58.55, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.133333, 105.145455, 133.247619, 269.070968 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 85.0, "trend_reference": 477.933333, "distance_from_trend": -0.822151, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 534.134615, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.840864, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -91.570241, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.918348, "excess_performance": -1.127606, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.822151, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.392432, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.840864, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154504, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.915702, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071071, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.918348, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.247678, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1344900, "relative_activity": 0.601075, "balance": 2.247678, "dry_up": 0.231085, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.311312, "annualized_volatility": 2.012974, "from_high_reference": -0.962752, "from_low_reference": 0.036585 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 477.933333, "fair_value_reference": 534.134615, "structural_low": 82.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.035785, "positive_rate": 0.371429, "directional_follow_through": 0.628571, "median_excess_return": -0.035653, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.614943, "worst_return": -0.224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.010591, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.028177, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 1.034591, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.022396, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.096148, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.322835, "worst_return": -0.246689, "sufficient": true }, 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.225028, "energy": 88.303615, "activity_lines": [ 125.533333, 134.545455, 216.357143, 390.815054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 107.0, "volume": 242600, "typical_volume": 2310485.0, "trend": 582.833333, "fair_value": 541.064103, "relative_strength": -89.786851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.175891, "energy": 91.46275, "activity_lines": [ 119.933333, 127.454545, 189.052381, 357.877419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 97.0, "volume": 210000, "typical_volume": 2222085.0, "trend": 547.7, "fair_value": 538.839744, "relative_strength": -90.654025, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.081174, "energy": 92.143681, "activity_lines": [ 111.666667, 119.8, 166.095238, 326.533333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 85.0, "volume": 270700, "typical_volume": 2198730.0, "trend": 512.966667, "fair_value": 536.49359, "relative_strength": -91.615633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.125998, "energy": 92.7309, "activity_lines": [ 101.066667, 111.672727, 147.195238, 296.68172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 85.0, "volume": 1344900, "typical_volume": 2237490.0, "trend": 477.933333, "fair_value": 534.134615, "relative_strength": -91.570241, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.808664, "energy": 71.091215, "activity_lines": [ 93.133333, 105.145455, 133.247619, 269.070968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }