{ "ticker": { "uuid": "794abdaa-eb6d-41c0-b086-30f7d0c1a6e4", "symbol": "300080", "name": "Henan Yicheng New Energy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.528, "architecture_energy": 54.745, "architecture_maturity": 80.191, "architecture_confidence": 91.104, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 27.64, "upward_expansion": 9.48, "deceleration": 60.25, "rotation_down": 51.69, "downward_expansion": 82.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.584, 3.612364, 3.865381, 4.180086 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.71, "trend_reference": 4.554, "distance_from_trend": -0.185332, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.349359, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.147001, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.318789, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.25502, "excess_performance": -0.26242, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.185332, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098991, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.147001, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162608, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.243188, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018528, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25502, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.949738, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 89949467, "relative_activity": 0.643976, "balance": 0.949738, "dry_up": 0.623409, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092474, "annualized_volatility": 0.493486, "from_high_reference": -0.452802, "from_low_reference": 0.11747 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.554, "fair_value_reference": 4.349359, "structural_low": 3.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.005277, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006327, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.342466, "worst_return": -0.234043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.031811, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.05889, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.424691, "worst_return": -0.334873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.157934, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.175876, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.599415, "worst_return": -0.396226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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3.625818, 3.979762, 4.297591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.7, "volume": 87858948, "typical_volume": 166656885.35, "trend": 4.592333, "fair_value": 4.357949, "relative_strength": -21.066648, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.241953, "energy": 63.433231, "activity_lines": [ 3.524, 3.613091, 3.916429, 4.237011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.71, "volume": 89949467, "typical_volume": 139678277.7, "trend": 4.554, "fair_value": 4.349359, "relative_strength": -24.318789, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.528376, "energy": 54.744871, "activity_lines": [ 3.584, 3.612364, 3.865381, 4.180086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }