{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "795205d0-ae27-44e4-bf1f-233c11e4a526",
    "symbol": "300795",
    "name": "Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition Inc.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 49.587,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 42.116,
    "architecture_energy": 49.243,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.395,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.29,
        "rotation_up": 71.91,
        "upward_expansion": 44.33,
        "deceleration": 44.39,
        "rotation_down": 19.36,
        "downward_expansion": 24.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.73,
        11.799091,
        11.032086,
        11.21367
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 15.52,
    "trend_reference": 11.717843,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.324476,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 14.338514,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.082399,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.638813,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.121757,
    "excess_performance": 0.114357,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.324476,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081714,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082399,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.342204,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156388,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.511987,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121757,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.789103,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 240469351,
      "relative_activity": 4.681532,
      "balance": 1.789103,
      "dry_up": 3.564231,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.129362,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.723944,
      "from_high_reference": -0.123164,
      "from_low_reference": 0.957125
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.717843,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.338514,
      "structural_low": 7.93,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.034483,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037845,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.158488,
        "worst_return": -0.130305,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.009701,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014418,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.654907,
        "worst_return": -0.084807,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.056765,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.166037,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.335286,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.099773,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.337412,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.049878,
        "worst_return": -0.116359,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.17509,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.107356,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 18295240.4,
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        "energy": 49.909373,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.07,
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        "typical_volume": 28755772.45,
        "trend": 11.53985,
        "fair_value": 14.37295,
        "relative_strength": -15.145174,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.290277,
        "energy": 19.620701,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.440001,
        "volume": 235476360,
        "typical_volume": 39967879.65,
        "trend": 11.646307,
        "fair_value": 14.354957,
        "relative_strength": 28.293979,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.548521,
        "energy": 41.808709,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.238,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.52,
        "volume": 240469351,
        "typical_volume": 51365527.85,
        "trend": 11.717843,
        "fair_value": 14.338514,
        "relative_strength": 15.638813,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.116482,
        "energy": 49.243242,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}