{ "ticker": { "uuid": "795adce2-22e8-4f06-94e5-2f2aca4c9f41", "symbol": "ZTEK", "name": "ZEN Graphene Solutions Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 20.087, "architecture_energy": 21.378, "architecture_maturity": 22.906, "architecture_confidence": 38.885, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.18, "rotation_up": 53.39, "upward_expansion": 32.41, "deceleration": 42.41, "rotation_down": 17.91, "downward_expansion": 21.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.6039, 0.546564, 0.546402, 0.556714 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.6654, "trend_reference": 0.587502, "distance_from_trend": 0.132591, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.971159, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.314839, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.119674, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.016654, "excess_performance": -0.1708, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132591, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11781, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.314839, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027578, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141197, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123009, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.016654, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.882393, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 645565, "relative_activity": 0.791019, "balance": 0.882393, "dry_up": 0.806299, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.209648, "annualized_volatility": 0.882963, "from_high_reference": -0.463387, "from_low_reference": 0.815553 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.587502, "fair_value_reference": 0.971159, "structural_low": 0.3665, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.082873, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": -0.047036, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.105769, "worst_return": -0.193764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.097118, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.164338, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.012346, "worst_return": -0.287305, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.259259, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.327558, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.1836, "worst_return": -0.371938, 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"active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.193269, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.260379, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.14, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.222222, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.350943, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.164835, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.055619, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.304531, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.085563, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.021471, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.39, "volume": 121421, "typical_volume": 96068.7, "trend": 1.565513, "fair_value": 2.168687, "relative_strength": -25.624391, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", 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"trend": 0.608796, "fair_value": 0.996947, "relative_strength": -41.590857, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.149981, "energy": 44.406859, "activity_lines": [ 0.46256, 0.498442, 0.530621, 0.559932 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.4701, "volume": 451302, "typical_volume": 780464.7, "trend": 0.599799, "fair_value": 0.989575, "relative_strength": -38.974758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.779129, "energy": 30.692671, "activity_lines": [ 0.466787, 0.484085, 0.522799, 0.550984 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.5316, "volume": 773681, "typical_volume": 777079.45, "trend": 0.594056, "fair_value": 0.982342, "relative_strength": -28.839441, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.18019, "energy": 21.184756, "activity_lines": [ 0.49064, 0.486089, 0.521407, 0.546584 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.68, "volume": 761593, "typical_volume": 794774.5, "trend": 0.594323, "fair_value": 0.976509, "relative_strength": -8.662158, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.094421, "energy": 9.278667, "activity_lines": [ 0.556047, 0.517955, 0.534723, 0.552129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6654, "volume": 645565, "typical_volume": 816117.9, "trend": 0.587502, "fair_value": 0.971159, "relative_strength": -14.119674, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.087276, "energy": 21.377716, "activity_lines": [ 0.6039, 0.546564, 0.546402, 0.556714 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }