{ "ticker": { "uuid": "795cb7d6-53fa-4bf6-b7ae-8e29b436c036", "symbol": "5474", "name": "Yuan High-Tech Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 65.535, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.988, "architecture_energy": 13.471, "architecture_maturity": 13.056, "architecture_confidence": 49.736, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.96, "rotation_up": 19.85, "upward_expansion": 16.36, "deceleration": 60.11, "rotation_down": 51.28, "downward_expansion": 41.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 150.533333, 153.977705, 157.948354, 154.738759 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 161.5, "trend_reference": 151.901188, "distance_from_trend": 0.063191, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 146.099319, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.105412, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.114103, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.117831, "excess_performance": -0.323541, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063191, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001863, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.105412, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025643, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281141, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033767, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117831, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.72894, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1005447, "relative_activity": 0.414689, "balance": 0.72894, "dry_up": 0.364286, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123703, "annualized_volatility": 0.486693, "from_high_reference": -0.232302, "from_low_reference": 0.318239 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 151.901188, "fair_value_reference": 146.099319, "structural_low": 122.511903, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.020806, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.028095, "regime_survival": 0.307692, "best_return": 0.325103, "worst_return": -0.18209, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.109375, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.008287, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.442063, "worst_return": -0.192752, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.042071, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.021665, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.95291, "worst_return": -0.185345, 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"direction": 16.016551, "energy": 16.168911, "activity_lines": [ 158.45238, 164.155193, 159.35714, 155.445619 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 149.5, "volume": 817050, "typical_volume": 2395256.55, "trend": 152.488886, "fair_value": 145.930832, "relative_strength": -32.767342, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.306071, "energy": 17.543569, "activity_lines": [ 153.775397, 161.08225, 159.06349, 155.244698 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 141.0, "volume": 911402, "typical_volume": 2401973.45, "trend": 152.112696, "fair_value": 145.869565, "relative_strength": -34.985317, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.556532, "energy": 23.779533, "activity_lines": [ 148.533333, 156.656492, 157.908501, 154.50348 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 146.0, "volume": 799061, "typical_volume": 2396171.85, "trend": 151.740474, "fair_value": 145.86133, "relative_strength": -33.492336, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.090717, "energy": 24.739763, "activity_lines": [ 146.133333, 153.637878, 157.22069, 154.109112 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 161.5, "volume": 1005447, "typical_volume": 2424580.45, "trend": 151.901188, "fair_value": 146.099319, "relative_strength": -28.114103, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.987849, "energy": 13.470748, "activity_lines": [ 150.533333, 153.977705, 157.948354, 154.738759 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }