{ "ticker": { "uuid": "795d0567-addf-4553-a61e-5b6c14c4cd6e", "symbol": "SQQQ", "name": "ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ -3x Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.283, "architecture_energy": 37.736, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.404, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.73, "rotation_up": 27.78, "upward_expansion": 22.3, "deceleration": 46.84, "rotation_down": 35.73, "downward_expansion": 60.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.31, 40.854291, 42.407703, 48.357128 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 37.4, "trend_reference": 55.485402, "distance_from_trend": -0.325949, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 163.656615, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.771473, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -48.979541, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.461205, "excess_performance": -0.648659, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.325949, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141497, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.771473, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013111, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.489795, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068135, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.461205, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.585672, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 380725237, "relative_activity": 1.262713, "balance": 0.585672, "dry_up": 0.984699, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149976, "annualized_volatility": 0.643869, "from_high_reference": -0.58772, "from_low_reference": 0.061161 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.485402, "fair_value_reference": 163.656615, 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"energy": 33.087253, "activity_lines": [ 42.779333, 41.435329, 43.609945, 49.58143 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.4, "volume": 380725237, "typical_volume": 301513644.7, "trend": 55.485402, "fair_value": 163.656615, "relative_strength": -48.979541, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.283109, "energy": 37.735712, "activity_lines": [ 41.31, 40.854291, 42.407703, 48.357128 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }