{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7963bbd5-fe62-4802-839d-f37566903b1e", "symbol": "CTSO", "name": "Cytosorbents Crp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.591, "architecture_energy": 46.74, "architecture_maturity": 68.912, "architecture_confidence": 95.514, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.46, "rotation_up": 24.42, "upward_expansion": 6.75, "deceleration": 54.15, "rotation_down": 57.46, "downward_expansion": 84.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.36166, 0.372862, 0.426553, 0.481861 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.36, "trend_reference": 0.550063, "distance_from_trend": -0.34553, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.981061, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.63305, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -53.727415, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.464286, "excess_performance": -0.651739, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.34553, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156918, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.63305, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129077, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.537274, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.14929, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.464286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.603559, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 401299, "relative_activity": 0.637223, "balance": 0.603559, "dry_up": 0.512871, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.269786, "annualized_volatility": 0.612853, "from_high_reference": -0.704918, "from_low_reference": 0.028571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.550063, "fair_value_reference": 0.981061, "structural_low": 0.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.070064, "positive_rate": 0.365854, "directional_follow_through": 0.634146, "median_excess_return": -0.078709, "regime_survival": 0.902439, "best_return": 0.907563, "worst_return": -0.454545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.189145, "positive_rate": 0.153846, "directional_follow_through": 0.846154, "median_excess_return": -0.170511, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.33758, "worst_return": -0.532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.261115, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.122193, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.782828, "worst_return": -0.62052, "sufficient": true }, { 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.26, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.128492, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.420765, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.078261, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.163366, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.261905, "active": false 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52.624325, "activity_lines": [ 0.388593, 0.416929, 0.489234, 0.537401 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.36, "volume": 361512, "typical_volume": 656116.75, "trend": 0.580927, "fair_value": 1.037337, "relative_strength": -54.675114, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.648135, "energy": 59.095796, "activity_lines": [ 0.377167, 0.400771, 0.470685, 0.522553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.36, "volume": 203385, "typical_volume": 644274.6, "trend": 0.57026, "fair_value": 1.015799, "relative_strength": -53.03365, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.744949, "energy": 51.082571, "activity_lines": [ 0.368393, 0.38914, 0.454005, 0.508299 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3609, "volume": 325751, "typical_volume": 645920.05, "trend": 0.56043, "fair_value": 0.997599, "relative_strength": -52.313601, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.88194, "energy": 48.537906, "activity_lines": [ 0.36514, 0.380175, 0.439497, 0.494792 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.36, "volume": 401299, "typical_volume": 629762.05, "trend": 0.550063, "fair_value": 0.981061, "relative_strength": -53.727415, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.590739, "energy": 46.740496, "activity_lines": [ 0.36166, 0.372862, 0.426553, 0.481861 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }