{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79856f0c-d37a-4519-aeb8-1c7e18c860c6", "symbol": "TTWO", "name": "Take-Two Interactive Software Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 53.524, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.791, "architecture_energy": 33.548, "architecture_maturity": 34.774, "architecture_confidence": 48.984, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.01, "rotation_up": 45.69, "upward_expansion": 72.89, "deceleration": 66.05, "rotation_down": 24.01, "downward_expansion": 8.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 241.046, 240.095273, 233.119476, 226.563226 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 246.5, "trend_reference": 220.909333, "distance_from_trend": 0.115842, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 192.867115, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.278082, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.065687, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.260289, "excess_performance": 0.072836, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115842, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012491, "read": "Falling" 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187.63, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.004326, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.017379, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.142688, "worst_return": -0.100708, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.013753, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.012822, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.218819, "worst_return": -0.0478, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.024056, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.191208, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.273468, "worst_return": -0.049784, "sufficient": 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232.631818, 223.403571, 220.663656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 243.2, "volume": 10126002, "typical_volume": 10856950.15, "trend": 222.511, "fair_value": 190.470897, "relative_strength": -9.656578, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.429812, "energy": 58.691324, "activity_lines": [ 242.790667, 235.221455, 225.942143, 222.002151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 236.68, "volume": 8263362, "typical_volume": 10728693.25, "trend": 222.153667, "fair_value": 191.026795, "relative_strength": -7.913946, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.888245, "energy": 65.129667, "activity_lines": [ 242.500667, 236.131636, 227.652714, 222.91628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 231.65, "volume": 6651899, "typical_volume": 10536036.75, "trend": 221.339, "fair_value": 191.539936, "relative_strength": -8.123343, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.069069, "energy": 50.540899, "activity_lines": [ 238.872, 235.832182, 228.764238, 223.528946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 242.92, "volume": 10695408, "typical_volume": 10640335.2, "trend": 221.049667, "fair_value": 192.185705, "relative_strength": -3.946274, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.243053, "energy": 34.501206, "activity_lines": [ 239.508667, 237.778, 230.853143, 224.921269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 246.5, "volume": 13808895, "typical_volume": 10803775.5, "trend": 220.909333, "fair_value": 192.867115, "relative_strength": -7.065687, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.790915, "energy": 33.54813, "activity_lines": [ 241.046, 240.095273, 233.119476, 226.563226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }