{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "798f6d47-2009-4f74-bb89-4d88b93b0a65",
    "symbol": "DKNG",
    "name": "DraftKings Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -38.063,
    "architecture_energy": 28.04,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.885,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.234,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.28,
        "rotation_up": 10.65,
        "upward_expansion": 10.19,
        "deceleration": 55.0,
        "rotation_down": 58.44,
        "downward_expansion": 66.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.963667,
        24.790545,
        24.906952,
        24.694946
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 24.03,
    "trend_reference": 24.946833,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.036751,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 35.412147,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.321419,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -30.928353,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.097295,
    "excess_performance": -0.284749,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036751,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095179,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.321419,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038597,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.309284,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069628,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097295,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.236293,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 115626168,
      "relative_activity": 1.867005,
      "balance": 1.236293,
      "dry_up": 1.136882,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.115206,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.540065,
      "from_high_reference": -0.50738,
      "from_low_reference": 0.174487
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.946833,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.412147,
      "structural_low": 20.46,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.017337,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013989,
        "regime_survival": 0.4375,
        "best_return": 0.417436,
        "worst_return": -0.317441,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.108797,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.135739,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.38973,
        "worst_return": -0.305134,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.049824,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.143218,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.502771,
        "worst_return": -0.667564,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.153698,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.162237,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.788775,
        "worst_return": -0.651221,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.082094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.081516,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.153864,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.070651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.292017,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.133452,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.085986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058751,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.102281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.10301,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.163698,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.183394,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036101,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.01,
        "volume": 60428310,
        "typical_volume": 60667160.85,
        "trend": 25.724167,
        "fair_value": 35.499455,
        "relative_strength": -32.45265,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -35.621409,
        "energy": 20.247922,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.48,
        "volume": 47487957,
        "typical_volume": 59612948.95,
        "trend": 25.318167,
        "fair_value": 35.446506,
        "relative_strength": -30.233859,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.674295,
        "energy": 23.005583,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.206667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.03,
        "volume": 115626168,
        "typical_volume": 61931349.15,
        "trend": 24.946833,
        "fair_value": 35.412147,
        "relative_strength": -30.928353,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.063137,
        "energy": 28.039751,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.963667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}