{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79a0c917-5e36-45d9-8996-f044953a5a57", "symbol": "WLDU", "name": "Amundi MSCI World Swap II UCITS ETF USD Hedged Dist", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.036, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.598, "architecture_energy": 70.427, "architecture_maturity": 66.341, "architecture_confidence": 68.813, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.19, "rotation_up": 57.33, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 69.77, "rotation_down": 27.47, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 334.866333, 332.927453, 329.104282, 322.912695 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 343.220001, "trend_reference": 315.837163, "distance_from_trend": 0.086699, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 257.140073, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.334759, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.677201, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.12753, "excess_performance": 0.076294, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086699, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037874, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.334759, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019641, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.036772, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01443, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.12753, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.531326, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4908, "relative_activity": 2.177269, "balance": 0.531326, "dry_up": 3.108974, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015645, "annualized_volatility": 0.120363, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.239227 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 315.837163, "fair_value_reference": 257.140073, "structural_low": 284.73999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 44, "median_return": 0.012235, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.005159, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.059487, "worst_return": -0.076693, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.032859, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": 0.000926, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.115855, "worst_return": -0.08525, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.085659, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.022608, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.129561, "worst_return": -0.141039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"energy": 71.854827, "activity_lines": [ 331.276998, 330.072177, 323.028161, 317.615318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 330.434998, "volume": 1153, "typical_volume": 2959.7, "trend": 312.58233, "fair_value": 254.460118, "relative_strength": 2.794434, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.717762, "energy": 63.142153, "activity_lines": [ 331.269332, 330.386269, 324.447518, 318.836146 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 330.394989, "volume": 209, "typical_volume": 2960.15, "trend": 313.558997, "fair_value": 255.309005, "relative_strength": 1.448999, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.387875, "energy": 62.432033, "activity_lines": [ 331.116329, 330.554813, 325.752756, 319.98535 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 330.290009, "volume": 21763, "typical_volume": 4024.15, "trend": 314.577164, "fair_value": 256.176162, "relative_strength": 0.142058, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.447375, "energy": 57.31751, "activity_lines": [ 330.957333, 330.585452, 326.896495, 321.06477 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 343.220001, "volume": 4908, "typical_volume": 2254.2, "trend": 315.837163, "fair_value": 257.140073, "relative_strength": 3.677201, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.598373, "energy": 70.426708, "activity_lines": [ 334.866333, 332.927453, 329.104282, 322.912695 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }