{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79a10b75-a354-4ee1-b8c4-ba5f12fc2543", "symbol": "NXT", "name": "Next Geosolutions Europe SpA", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.523, "architecture_energy": 46.688, "architecture_maturity": 65.526, "architecture_confidence": 81.92, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.2, "rotation_up": 36.09, "upward_expansion": 66.5, "deceleration": 86.1, "rotation_down": 27.8, "downward_expansion": 21.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.78, 15.873636, 15.271625, 14.61753 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 15.75, "trend_reference": 13.931209, "distance_from_trend": 0.130555, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.234786, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.53887, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.692209, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.199669, "excess_performance": 0.028777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.130555, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098923, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.53887, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176327, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.026922, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021225, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.199669, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.423594, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 188000, "relative_activity": 0.786734, "balance": 1.423594, "dry_up": 1.25595, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040768, "annualized_volatility": 0.35866, "from_high_reference": -0.0625, "from_low_reference": 0.485571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.931209, "fair_value_reference": 10.234786, "structural_low": 10.651527, "invalidation": 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"trend": 13.814105, "fair_value": 10.186827, "relative_strength": 6.3341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.69241, "energy": 49.024643, "activity_lines": [ 15.84, 15.906364, 15.130984, 14.492634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.75, "volume": 188000, "typical_volume": 238962.5, "trend": 13.931209, "fair_value": 10.234786, "relative_strength": 2.692209, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.523401, "energy": 46.687709, "activity_lines": [ 15.78, 15.873636, 15.271625, 14.61753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }