{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79a86651-a342-460d-9c3c-12cc65cd8323", "symbol": "688612", "name": "Shenzhen VMAX New Energy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.849, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 10.296, "architecture_energy": 8.562, "architecture_maturity": 37.65, "architecture_confidence": 64.901, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.78, "rotation_up": 33.23, "upward_expansion": 19.66, "deceleration": 53.87, "rotation_down": 35.65, "downward_expansion": 35.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.963999, 30.900363, 31.443694, 31.301948 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 33.849998, "trend_reference": 31.397699, "distance_from_trend": 0.078104, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.008824, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.091625, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.109046, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.092993, "excess_performance": 0.136197, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078104, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018076, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.091625, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0713, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.02109, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121805, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.092993, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.098708, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21783173, "relative_activity": 0.903387, "balance": 1.098708, "dry_up": 0.897657, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131789, "annualized_volatility": 0.541257, "from_high_reference": -0.199006, "from_low_reference": 0.310999 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.397699, "fair_value_reference": 31.008824, "structural_low": 25.82, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007788, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.060694, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.245298, "worst_return": -0.121764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.031968, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003711, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.444612, "worst_return": -0.073692, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.086829, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.071269, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.310651, "worst_return": -0.136994, "sufficient": false }, { 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"typical_volume": 24112770.05, "trend": 31.397699, "fair_value": 31.008824, "relative_strength": 2.109046, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.296377, "energy": 8.561889, "activity_lines": [ 30.963999, 30.900363, 31.443694, 31.301948 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }