{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79af8e47-5b2d-4770-893f-87f53a70dadd", "symbol": "CDEI", "name": "MORGAN STANLEY ETF TRUST CALVERT US LARGE CAP DIVERSITY EQUITY", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.506, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.029, "architecture_energy": 70.766, "architecture_maturity": 54.018, "architecture_confidence": 77.666, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.47, "rotation_up": 61.26, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 63.8, "rotation_down": 26.5, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.127287, 91.392126, 89.969434, 87.872724 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 94.4887, "trend_reference": 85.514899, "distance_from_trend": 0.104938, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.135601, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.32829, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.468082, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.144443, "excess_performance": 0.018818, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104938, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035415, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.32829, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036376, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014681, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020115, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.144443, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.387942, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1751, "relative_activity": 0.192493, "balance": 0.387942, "dry_up": 2.152048, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019628, "annualized_volatility": 0.137426, "from_high_reference": -0.001388, "from_low_reference": 0.261628 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.514899, "fair_value_reference": 71.135601, "structural_low": 75.4515, 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"direction": 78.356892, "energy": 67.095173, "activity_lines": [ 90.117676, 89.704755, 87.163729, 85.577608 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 91.7666, "volume": 2001, "typical_volume": 5956.0, "trend": 84.345223, "fair_value": 70.210398, "relative_strength": 1.053839, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.391737, "energy": 76.488251, "activity_lines": [ 90.78795, 90.180182, 87.82485, 86.077533 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 90.8382, "volume": 857, "typical_volume": 5794.65, "trend": 84.634236, "fair_value": 70.431285, "relative_strength": 1.579652, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.215165, "energy": 78.272186, "activity_lines": [ 90.947181, 90.386865, 88.350337, 86.496435 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.9172, "volume": 70907, "typical_volume": 8986.2, "trend": 84.850725, "fair_value": 70.645515, "relative_strength": 1.129411, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.248466, "energy": 62.795143, "activity_lines": [ 90.69594, 90.374866, 88.744754, 86.837271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.5678, "volume": 4789, "typical_volume": 9091.8, "trend": 85.156259, "fair_value": 70.880733, "relative_strength": 1.830677, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.983008, "energy": 61.879765, "activity_lines": [ 91.00052, 90.635397, 89.248858, 87.270631 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.4887, "volume": 1751, "typical_volume": 9096.45, "trend": 85.514899, "fair_value": 71.135601, "relative_strength": 1.468082, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.029476, "energy": 70.766313, "activity_lines": [ 92.127287, 91.392126, 89.969434, 87.872724 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }