{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79b189e4-b9dd-42af-bb9f-15b541af7c4e", "symbol": "BE", "name": "Bloom Energy Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.637, "architecture_energy": 17.758, "architecture_maturity": 42.977, "architecture_confidence": 73.316, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.45, "rotation_up": 15.81, "upward_expansion": 41.41, "deceleration": 80.76, "rotation_down": 42.38, "downward_expansion": 35.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 209.942667, 229.645455, 244.406333, 229.648043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 219.34, "trend_reference": 206.880667, "distance_from_trend": 0.060225, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 63.775064, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.439275, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 26.041089, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.533524, "excess_performance": 0.4079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060225, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.284067, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.439275, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.508128, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.260411, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.104058, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.533524, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.968204, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 77574118, "relative_activity": 1.243683, "balance": 0.968204, "dry_up": 1.421186, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.294745, "annualized_volatility": 0.93418, "from_high_reference": -0.375598, "from_low_reference": 4.960326 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 206.880667, "fair_value_reference": 63.775064, "structural_low": 116.505, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.068864, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.059829, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.41156, "worst_return": -0.240245, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.043522, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.119191, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.626764, "worst_return": -0.289298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.044732, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.011749, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.739735, "worst_return": -0.216328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025021, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.265612, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.036471, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.091497, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.114483, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.445669, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 2.238587, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.574016, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.739389, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.190299, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 14.49, "volume": 13375235, "typical_volume": 20990771.95, "trend": 17.934, "fair_value": 21.549744, "relative_strength": -31.086401, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 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"2026-07-17", "close": 214.96, "volume": 63440237, "typical_volume": 55564864.2, "trend": 197.310667, "fair_value": 60.174167, "relative_strength": 35.899391, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.034447, "energy": 17.17949, "activity_lines": [ 246.590667, 260.859636, 252.233905, 229.117505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 184.89, "volume": 66980554, "typical_volume": 56241840.5, "trend": 200.467667, "fair_value": 61.248077, "relative_strength": 15.535178, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.133981, "energy": 13.608924, "activity_lines": [ 220.794667, 245.409455, 248.106143, 228.316172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 205.81, "volume": 146588043, "typical_volume": 61071630.7, "trend": 204.038333, "fair_value": 62.465577, "relative_strength": 24.82153, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.152683, "energy": 17.534519, "activity_lines": [ 211.573333, 235.418545, 245.734095, 228.660839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 219.34, "volume": 77574118, "typical_volume": 62374495.1, "trend": 206.880667, "fair_value": 63.775064, "relative_strength": 26.041089, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.637103, "energy": 17.757762, "activity_lines": [ 209.942667, 229.645455, 244.406333, 229.648043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }