{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "79b4910a-6199-4566-968e-16152b0ccf33",
    "symbol": "WRND",
    "name": "NYLI GLOBAL EQUITY R&D LEADERS ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.695,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.201,
    "architecture_energy": 39.956,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.866,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.071,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.26,
        "rotation_up": 44.92,
        "upward_expansion": 71.07,
        "deceleration": 68.33,
        "rotation_down": 26.07,
        "downward_expansion": 9.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        41.876073,
        41.674451,
        41.507224,
        40.716251
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 43.3075,
    "trend_reference": 39.812195,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087795,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.423044,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.378208,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.741219,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.131618,
    "excess_performance": -0.055836,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087795,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04108,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.378208,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031932,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007412,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009987,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131618,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.766947,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 146,
      "relative_activity": 0.048582,
      "balance": 0.766947,
      "dry_up": 1.303324,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031977,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.204511,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006848,
      "from_low_reference": 0.307002
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.812195,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.423044,
      "structural_low": 34.33113,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.007629,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01605,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.072676,
        "worst_return": -0.030641,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.060575,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.057484,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.098247,
        "worst_return": 0.035566,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.13987,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067175,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.212667,
        "worst_return": 0.076081,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.210348,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.068515,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.229921,
        "worst_return": 0.190775,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.086463,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044894,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.058426,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.001759,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.106661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058729,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 37.496184,
        "fair_value": 29.800769,
        "relative_strength": 0.287252,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 3833.75,
        "trend": 38.399355,
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        "relative_strength": -3.200747,
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        "energy": 57.847211,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 3564.55,
        "trend": 38.564488,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 30.751781,
        "relative_strength": -4.684595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.116204,
        "energy": 34.046434,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 3093.1,
        "trend": 39.069651,
        "fair_value": 30.866908,
        "relative_strength": -3.075018,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "energy": 32.764637,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 3047.1,
        "trend": 39.249357,
        "fair_value": 30.979945,
        "relative_strength": -3.822209,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.828108,
        "energy": 38.009344,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 41.0687,
        "volume": 643,
        "typical_volume": 2919.15,
        "trend": 39.399715,
        "fair_value": 31.087324,
        "relative_strength": -2.024197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.548442,
        "energy": 27.58412,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.477184,
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          41.054434,
          40.282645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.4443,
        "volume": 14732,
        "typical_volume": 3552.35,
        "trend": 39.503839,
        "fair_value": 31.187237,
        "relative_strength": -1.937323,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.858564,
        "energy": 23.360753,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.104247,
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          41.098907,
          40.350038
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.5191,
        "volume": 146,
        "typical_volume": 3042.05,
        "trend": 39.646449,
        "fair_value": 31.298608,
        "relative_strength": 0.062795,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.679189,
        "energy": 22.463765,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.22244,
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          41.229732,
          40.480054
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.3075,
        "volume": 146,
        "typical_volume": 3005.2,
        "trend": 39.812195,
        "fair_value": 31.423044,
        "relative_strength": -0.741219,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.200789,
        "energy": 39.956084,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.876073,
          41.674451,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}