{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79b5ad6d-29a2-45e3-9fae-4f3928cae1ae", "symbol": "O5RU", "name": "AIMS APAC REIT", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.349, "architecture_energy": 20.767, "architecture_maturity": 81.936, "architecture_confidence": 71.734, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.12, "rotation_up": 28.97, "upward_expansion": 61.18, "deceleration": 85.16, "rotation_down": 30.18, "downward_expansion": 22.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.577967, 1.591174, 1.575541, 1.546011 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.53, "trend_reference": 1.513727, "distance_from_trend": 0.01075, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.228514, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.245407, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.601311, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.033824, "excess_performance": -0.121012, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01075, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041762, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.245407, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062815, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.106013, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145413, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033824, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.560292, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8774000, "relative_activity": 1.293521, "balance": 0.560292, "dry_up": 1.019908, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031063, "annualized_volatility": 0.161335, "from_high_reference": -0.070078, "from_low_reference": 0.210078 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.513727, "fair_value_reference": 1.228514, "structural_low": 1.347312, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.00578, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.021405, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.063977, "worst_return": -0.143939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.005175, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.04329, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.100389, "worst_return": -0.078706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.014927, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.04704, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.153148, "worst_return": -0.060353, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 1.228514, "relative_strength": -10.601311, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.348682, "energy": 20.766528, "activity_lines": [ 1.577967, 1.591174, 1.575541, 1.546011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }