{ "ticker": { "uuid": "79ded19a-b6b5-4f71-9f71-de208ca98bfe", "symbol": "CORE", "name": "Soluzione Tasse S.p.A.", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 72.345, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 11.271, "architecture_energy": 29.675, "architecture_maturity": 90.081, "architecture_confidence": 48.979, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.2, "rotation_up": 50.92, "upward_expansion": 37.2, "deceleration": 43.54, "rotation_down": 16.77, "downward_expansion": 45.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.186, 1.140545, 1.123738, 1.145043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.22, "trend_reference": 1.196, "distance_from_trend": 0.020067, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.475038, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.172902, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.840126, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.14386, "excess_performance": -0.314751, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020067, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060856, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.172902, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067933, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208401, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071883, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.14386, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.180994, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57253, "relative_activity": 1.593428, "balance": 1.180994, "dry_up": 1.090126, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059269, "annualized_volatility": 0.412538, "from_high_reference": -0.280236, "from_low_reference": 0.207921 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.196, "fair_value_reference": 1.475038, "structural_low": 1.01, 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.295608, "energy": 76.045732, "activity_lines": [ 1.061, 1.089182, 1.119333, 1.172452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.05, "volume": 4100, "typical_volume": 31859.6, "trend": 1.226, "fair_value": 1.496361, "relative_strength": -33.942692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.73718, "energy": 72.160916, "activity_lines": [ 1.054333, 1.078182, 1.10781, 1.160376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.08, "volume": 44916, "typical_volume": 32470.05, "trend": 1.216833, "fair_value": 1.491552, "relative_strength": -31.023692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.555324, "energy": 61.741908, "activity_lines": [ 1.061, 1.074455, 1.100762, 1.150957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.125, "volume": 14301, "typical_volume": 32495.7, "trend": 1.211167, "fair_value": 1.48703, "relative_strength": -26.409407, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.629662, "energy": 37.419954, "activity_lines": [ 1.081667, 1.080364, 1.099476, 1.145032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.24, "volume": 55498, "typical_volume": 34216.75, "trend": 1.207667, "fair_value": 1.483246, "relative_strength": -18.085324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.350209, "energy": 13.352821, "activity_lines": [ 1.138, 1.107909, 1.110333, 1.146892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.16, "volume": 29624, "typical_volume": 34245.8, "trend": 1.201, "fair_value": 1.47895, "relative_strength": -23.204079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.731426, "energy": 22.012767, "activity_lines": [ 1.156333, 1.118818, 1.113857, 1.143817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.22, "volume": 57253, "typical_volume": 35930.7, "trend": 1.196, "fair_value": 1.475038, "relative_strength": -20.840126, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.271257, "energy": 29.67539, "activity_lines": [ 1.186, 1.140545, 1.123738, 1.145043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }