{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a01bd4c-c33f-432c-b6d3-1615ab41b098", "symbol": "BOEI34", "name": "The Boeing Company", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.141, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -22.393, "architecture_energy": 15.405, "architecture_maturity": 35.997, "architecture_confidence": 80.344, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.55, "rotation_up": 23.51, "upward_expansion": 7.7, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 42.97, "downward_expansion": 71.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 1118.965324, 1121.339444, 1123.901136, 1127.10111 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1180.47998, "trend_reference": 1149.783323, "distance_from_trend": 0.026698, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1059.578397, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114103, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.727138, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.074024, "excess_performance": -0.016976, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026698, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002386, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.114103, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016255, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017271, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148312, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.074024, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.893192, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 345, "relative_activity": 1.357733, "balance": 0.893192, "dry_up": 0.984848, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053337, "annualized_volatility": 0.314526, "from_high_reference": -0.12557, "from_low_reference": 0.230525 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1149.783323, "fair_value_reference": 1059.578397, "structural_low": 993.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.034612, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.040644, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.13212, "worst_return": -0.101715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.054793, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.04756, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.252326, "worst_return": -0.240291, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.086957, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.05115, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.313125, "worst_return": -0.292352, "sufficient": true }, 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.067825, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.102176, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.071414, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.063562, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.065846, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": 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"direction": -43.403102, "energy": 19.485279, "activity_lines": [ 1125.656657, 1126.965989, 1124.364564, 1135.752378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1068.0, "volume": 345, "typical_volume": 361.85, "trend": 1156.933657, "fair_value": 1059.711794, "relative_strength": -13.174098, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.720683, "energy": 36.758844, "activity_lines": [ 1104.685327, 1116.258172, 1119.507993, 1129.734701 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1088.0, "volume": 241, "typical_volume": 269.9, "trend": 1152.36699, "fair_value": 1059.458846, "relative_strength": -12.759339, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.063668, "energy": 44.160001, "activity_lines": [ 1095.545329, 1110.300355, 1117.233518, 1125.287368 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1180.47998, "volume": 345, "typical_volume": 254.1, "trend": 1149.783323, "fair_value": 1059.578397, "relative_strength": -1.727138, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.39342, "energy": 15.40465, "activity_lines": [ 1118.965324, 1121.339444, 1123.901136, 1127.10111 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }