{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a0e2827-a5ac-45f7-b8a2-fa151c477deb", "symbol": "EFA", "name": "ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.16, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.427, "architecture_energy": 66.457, "architecture_maturity": 35.939, "architecture_confidence": 81.664, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.82, "rotation_up": 64.7, "upward_expansion": 85.97, "deceleration": 48.24, "rotation_down": 17.5, "downward_expansion": 12.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 105.752667, 104.818107, 103.541256, 102.285541 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 108.55, "trend_reference": 101.048675, "distance_from_trend": 0.074235, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 81.574547, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.330685, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.178723, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.074522, "excess_performance": -0.051103, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074235, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03689, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.330685, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025677, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.001787, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01328, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.074522, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.701477, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47316074, "relative_activity": 0.68, "balance": 1.701477, "dry_up": 0.774585, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02586, "annualized_volatility": 0.176699, "from_high_reference": -0.001931, "from_low_reference": 0.24911 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 101.048675, "fair_value_reference": 81.574547, "structural_low": 91.639211, 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"direction": 55.631602, "energy": 36.918925, "activity_lines": [ 103.771333, 103.374005, 102.094764, 101.223075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 103.41, "volume": 60984171, "typical_volume": 79653198.65, "trend": 100.33829, "fair_value": 81.04354, "relative_strength": -0.408358, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.866095, "energy": 36.14045, "activity_lines": [ 103.642667, 103.471363, 102.383076, 101.439174 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 105.58, "volume": 58051246, "typical_volume": 74256243.45, "trend": 100.673026, "fair_value": 81.299437, "relative_strength": 0.522913, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.109228, "energy": 42.358029, "activity_lines": [ 104.304, 103.903913, 102.846382, 101.777349 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.55, "volume": 47316074, "typical_volume": 69582423.8, "trend": 101.048675, "fair_value": 81.574547, "relative_strength": -0.178723, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.427465, "energy": 66.457274, "activity_lines": [ 105.752667, 104.818107, 103.541256, 102.285541 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }