{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a0fca12-8127-43f7-8156-c1db3d535a7a", "symbol": "BSE", "name": "BSE Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.235, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -7.85, "architecture_energy": 24.993, "architecture_maturity": 64.321, "architecture_confidence": 77.238, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.14, "rotation_up": 14.06, "upward_expansion": 43.05, "deceleration": 87.73, "rotation_down": 44.89, "downward_expansion": 34.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 3566.30669, 3675.76072, 3754.771639, 3605.272581 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3457.100098, "trend_reference": 3380.594019, "distance_from_trend": 0.022631, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1859.075805, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.85958, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.094909, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.193338, "excess_performance": 0.237047, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022631, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111059, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.85958, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.649846, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.150949, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.348011, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.193338, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.102363, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21096088, "relative_activity": 1.49713, "balance": 1.102363, "dry_up": 0.971408, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065415, "annualized_volatility": 0.3582, "from_high_reference": -0.222564, "from_low_reference": 0.710166 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3380.594019, "fair_value_reference": 1859.075805, "structural_low": 2537.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.032142, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.026533, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.0835, "worst_return": -0.113135, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.057321, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.014543, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.216491, "worst_return": -0.051731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.071208, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010586, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.275252, "worst_return": -0.171883, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 23.203422, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.535787, "energy": 27.28549, "activity_lines": [ 3753.906885, 3856.807293, 3767.628122, 3561.058735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3549.699951, "volume": 8933847, "typical_volume": 14597881.95, "trend": 3321.684017, "fair_value": 1817.269504, "relative_strength": 24.002394, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.604626, "energy": 24.874409, "activity_lines": [ 3665.704606, 3787.43782, 3767.1004, 3577.70643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3646.199951, "volume": 11435733, "typical_volume": 14242148.9, "trend": 3354.340682, "fair_value": 1838.81804, "relative_strength": 23.144668, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.33728, "energy": 21.207095, "activity_lines": [ 3640.331429, 3743.811985, 3771.962679, 3598.642941 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3457.100098, "volume": 21096088, "typical_volume": 14091022.15, "trend": 3380.594019, "fair_value": 1859.075805, "relative_strength": 15.094909, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.850018, "energy": 24.992547, "activity_lines": [ 3566.30669, 3675.76072, 3754.771639, 3605.272581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }