{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a20cc9d-20da-4b48-b9da-8d71f0ead822", "symbol": "000801", "name": "Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.554, "architecture_energy": 51.483, "architecture_maturity": 60.341, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.15, "rotation_up": 22.41, "upward_expansion": 7.76, "deceleration": 52.86, "rotation_down": 54.01, "downward_expansion": 78.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.229333, 11.399108, 12.016856, 12.70334 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.38, "trend_reference": 13.777678, "distance_from_trend": -0.174026, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.745743, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.107153, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.772773, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.271447, "excess_performance": -0.278847, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.174026, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105918, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.107153, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.244529, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.267728, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016873, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.271447, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.354033, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55004634, "relative_activity": 0.811968, "balance": 0.354033, "dry_up": 1.008465, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091042, "annualized_volatility": 0.424393, "from_high_reference": -0.399789, "from_low_reference": 0.073585 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.777678, "fair_value_reference": 12.745743, "structural_low": 10.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.025039, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.014089, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.453875, "worst_return": -0.118805, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.140964, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.13783, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.193694, "worst_return": -0.060606, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.535385, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.525996, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.869369, "worst_return": 0.258753, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 12.641458, "relative_strength": -30.976538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.514593, "energy": 55.367656, "activity_lines": [ 11.787749, 12.110231, 12.76472, 13.524118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.82, "volume": 77635693, "typical_volume": 71758129.95, "trend": 14.381678, "fair_value": 12.665403, "relative_strength": -29.607676, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.853071, "energy": 59.389583, "activity_lines": [ 11.457947, 11.802263, 12.509814, 13.279214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.67, "volume": 66116213, "typical_volume": 69440189.5, "trend": 14.160678, "fair_value": 12.688324, "relative_strength": -30.181851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.147848, "energy": 57.577995, "activity_lines": [ 11.18, 11.525109, 12.271526, 13.03975 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.53, "volume": 74506666, "typical_volume": 68219464.6, "trend": 13.963678, "fair_value": 12.716505, "relative_strength": -22.781762, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.056749, "energy": 52.440871, "activity_lines": [ 11.248667, 11.455878, 12.142858, 12.870029 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.38, "volume": 55004634, "typical_volume": 67742329.85, "trend": 13.777678, "fair_value": 12.745743, "relative_strength": -26.772773, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.55403, "energy": 51.483109, "activity_lines": [ 11.229333, 11.399108, 12.016856, 12.70334 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }