{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a223676-060b-4be2-9083-30927f999999",
    "symbol": "00901",
    "name": "SinoPac Taiwan Electric Vehicle Supply Chain ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.336,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 34.745,
    "architecture_energy": 25.441,
    "architecture_maturity": 75.536,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.336,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.58,
        "rotation_up": 23.1,
        "upward_expansion": 57.17,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 30.75,
        "downward_expansion": 20.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.194666,
        44.221273,
        43.443286,
        40.745054
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 43.669998,
    "trend_reference": 36.955333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.181697,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.035896,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.075975,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 8.152997,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.539845,
    "excess_performance": 0.160533,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181697,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227866,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.075975,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187118,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08153,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073408,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.539845,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.795594,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4357648,
      "relative_activity": 2.031849,
      "balance": 0.795594,
      "dry_up": 1.499737,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074404,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.372296,
      "from_high_reference": -0.1007,
      "from_low_reference": 1.259622
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.955333,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.035896,
      "structural_low": 27.17,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.038096,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005728,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.296586,
        "worst_return": -0.018493,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.124565,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029682,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.426558,
        "worst_return": 0.045329,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.134327,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022078,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.164652,
        "worst_return": 0.104002,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.315256,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.096225,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.453314,
        "worst_return": 0.177197,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-06-30",
        "end": "2023-08-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.045329,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.328804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.122617,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.075925,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.133503,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.139508,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047521,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08599,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.396094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": 0.067961,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 20.444724,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.400002,
        "volume": 1711019,
        "typical_volume": 1892037.85,
        "trend": 35.754,
        "fair_value": 20.642675,
        "relative_strength": 9.616741,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 4287429,
        "typical_volume": 1987980.8,
        "trend": 36.350334,
        "fair_value": 20.836267,
        "relative_strength": 8.252989,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.894675,
        "energy": 25.392617,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.669998,
        "volume": 4357648,
        "typical_volume": 2144671.4,
        "trend": 36.955333,
        "fair_value": 21.035896,
        "relative_strength": 8.152997,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.745017,
        "energy": 25.441201,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}