{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a27b2ce-6925-41f4-8b94-e888c7172842", "symbol": "HCA", "name": "HCA Healthcare, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.892, "architecture_energy": 29.29, "architecture_maturity": 66.398, "architecture_confidence": 83.608, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.46, "rotation_up": 25.83, "upward_expansion": 15.08, "deceleration": 46.3, "rotation_down": 35.18, "downward_expansion": 62.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 398.178667, 395.294572, 400.872866, 421.149415 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 413.36, "trend_reference": 446.699959, "distance_from_trend": -0.074636, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 361.057425, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.144859, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.716783, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.173183, "excess_performance": -0.298808, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.074636, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061643, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.144859, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09155, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.177168, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0564, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.173183, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.726935, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5678783, "relative_activity": 0.808038, "balance": 0.726935, "dry_up": 1.246326, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074422, "annualized_volatility": 0.335161, "from_high_reference": -0.254643, "from_low_reference": 0.167717 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 446.699959, "fair_value_reference": 361.057425, 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419.476259, 440.146304 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 406.59, "volume": 7090913, "typical_volume": 6467844.95, "trend": 457.255061, "fair_value": 357.866563, "relative_strength": -17.571659, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.156071, "energy": 38.297159, "activity_lines": [ 399.11671, 393.914797, 415.516831, 436.714661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 371.18, "volume": 12209665, "typical_volume": 6725235.75, "trend": 453.916683, "fair_value": 358.45996, "relative_strength": -23.393007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.292623, "energy": 39.83407, "activity_lines": [ 391.486, 389.231844, 408.774805, 431.161431 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 382.19, "volume": 7890873, "typical_volume": 6899992.6, "trend": 450.807455, "fair_value": 359.198407, "relative_strength": -20.632459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.739483, "energy": 39.013982, "activity_lines": [ 388.541333, 387.699008, 403.827416, 426.533903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 402.59, "volume": 9256727, "typical_volume": 7075205.2, "trend": 448.602109, "fair_value": 360.096184, "relative_strength": -17.210603, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.375643, "energy": 34.653386, "activity_lines": [ 391.928667, 390.60218, 401.531278, 423.4231 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 413.36, "volume": 5678783, "typical_volume": 7027867.3, "trend": 446.699959, "fair_value": 361.057425, "relative_strength": -17.716783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.891574, "energy": 29.289869, "activity_lines": [ 398.178667, 395.294572, 400.872866, 421.149415 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }