{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a387220-5a80-4c39-8046-7aa3dbf933c3", "symbol": "001201", "name": "Dongrui Food Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.459, "architecture_energy": 35.158, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.135, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.74, "rotation_up": 27.16, "upward_expansion": 17.44, "deceleration": 46.35, "rotation_down": 32.64, "downward_expansion": 62.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.388667, 11.304727, 11.625667, 12.173484 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 11.46, "trend_reference": 12.959667, "distance_from_trend": -0.115718, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.992949, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.325603, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.538337, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.25147, "excess_performance": -0.258869, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.115718, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092714, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.325603, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055535, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.225383, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079435, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25147, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.666208, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14086792, "relative_activity": 0.831341, "balance": 0.666208, "dry_up": 0.894465, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059605, "annualized_volatility": 0.281982, "from_high_reference": -0.378862, "from_low_reference": 0.118049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.959667, "fair_value_reference": 16.992949, "structural_low": 10.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.001701, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.515152, "median_excess_return": -0.017234, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.332943, "worst_return": -0.152769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.011706, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.046131, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.334113, "worst_return": -0.282536, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.048848, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.078123, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.172051, "worst_return": -0.2657, 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"relative_strength": -25.003221, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.627421, "energy": 40.964627, "activity_lines": [ 11.371333, 11.273818, 11.79019, 12.396301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.32, "volume": 12008340, "typical_volume": 17132103.05, "trend": 13.063333, "fair_value": 17.078846, "relative_strength": -20.479008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.745622, "energy": 35.417753, "activity_lines": [ 11.386667, 11.267636, 11.692524, 12.276925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.46, "volume": 14086792, "typical_volume": 16944665.8, "trend": 12.959667, "fair_value": 16.992949, "relative_strength": -22.538337, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.459049, "energy": 35.158424, "activity_lines": [ 11.388667, 11.304727, 11.625667, 12.173484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }