{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a3ce4d4-4867-4278-a8e3-dcb5d47dca34",
    "symbol": "POLA",
    "name": "Polar Power Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 57.735,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -5.979,
    "architecture_energy": 10.632,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.486,
    "architecture_confidence": 38.005,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 59.9,
        "rotation_up": 24.42,
        "upward_expansion": 16.04,
        "deceleration": 57.53,
        "rotation_down": 42.13,
        "downward_expansion": 38.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.644667,
        1.662182,
        1.733333,
        1.727699
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 1.78,
    "trend_reference": 1.705667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04358,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.010694,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.408774,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -28.513202,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.186667,
    "excess_performance": -0.000787,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04358,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101493,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.408774,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069372,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.285132,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007043,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186667,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 16.582995,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 715411,
      "relative_activity": 0.140023,
      "balance": 16.582995,
      "dry_up": 2.524695,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.209667,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.683141,
      "from_high_reference": -0.690429,
      "from_low_reference": 0.358779
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.705667,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.010694,
      "structural_low": 1.38,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.07229,
        "positive_rate": 0.32,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.32,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038444,
        "regime_survival": 0.72,
        "best_return": 0.684466,
        "worst_return": -0.269697,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.156977,
        "positive_rate": 0.181818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.181818,
        "median_excess_return": -0.188766,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.131068,
        "worst_return": -0.618879,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.341219,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.275145,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.072504,
        "worst_return": -0.695103,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.612121,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.530019,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.395869,
        "worst_return": -0.713793,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2022-10-21",
        "end": "2023-06-09",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.368664,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-06-16",
        "end": "2023-09-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.234483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-06",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.481308,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.270812,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.215969,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.197901,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.297794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.300971,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.416327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.302381,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02765,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.037634,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.121795,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.034884,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 9.24,
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        "typical_volume": 2309377.1,
        "trend": 9.470113,
        "fair_value": 32.737842,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 127206,
        "typical_volume": 4668251.55,
        "trend": 1.728333,
        "fair_value": 3.145804,
        "relative_strength": -34.886227,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.548137,
        "energy": 21.414325,
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          1.664667,
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          1.746774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.45,
        "volume": 137580,
        "typical_volume": 4661332.6,
        "trend": 1.716333,
        "fair_value": 3.098111,
        "relative_strength": -39.116086,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.906769,
        "energy": 34.506512,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.585333,
          1.678,
          1.742952,
          1.728817
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.63,
        "volume": 50616717,
        "typical_volume": 5126611.35,
        "trend": 1.711,
        "fair_value": 3.053816,
        "relative_strength": -31.4845,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.400011,
        "energy": 24.345737,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.588667,
          1.652545,
          1.730524,
          1.723247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.78,
        "volume": 715411,
        "typical_volume": 5109223.0,
        "trend": 1.705667,
        "fair_value": 3.010694,
        "relative_strength": -28.513202,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.979207,
        "energy": 10.631911,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.644667,
          1.662182,
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          1.727699
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}