{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a4b70d0-11be-440d-8628-eb98c9bf3c8f",
    "symbol": "MER",
    "name": "Mears Group plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.087,
    "architecture_energy": 75.982,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.611,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.01,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.84,
        "rotation_up": 73.81,
        "upward_expansion": 91.13,
        "deceleration": 45.19,
        "rotation_down": 14.86,
        "downward_expansion": 15.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 455.0,
    "trend_reference": 384.734691,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.182633,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 358.836254,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.267988,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.030022,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.276677,
    "excess_performance": 0.225442,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.182633,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056311,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.267988,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106614,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1403,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099958,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276677,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.884941,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1135737,
      "relative_activity": 1.038264,
      "balance": 0.884941,
      "dry_up": 0.865972,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049081,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.27059,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003286,
      "from_low_reference": 0.468179
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 358.836254,
      "structural_low": 320.404659,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.132903,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1019176.1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1020396.25,
        "trend": 378.927631,
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        "relative_strength": 10.358158,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 431.0,
        "volume": 1126666,
        "typical_volume": 1056310.25,
        "trend": 381.497808,
        "fair_value": 357.734599,
        "relative_strength": 8.304609,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.475996,
        "energy": 69.961943,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 455.0,
        "volume": 1135737,
        "typical_volume": 1093880.45,
        "trend": 384.734691,
        "fair_value": 358.836254,
        "relative_strength": 14.030022,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.086793,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}