{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7a574891-5ada-4b38-bd50-f1425aed6a9c", "symbol": "002334", "name": "Shenzhen INVT Electric Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.583, "architecture_energy": 75.539, "architecture_maturity": 28.147, "architecture_confidence": 82.098, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.18, "rotation_up": 10.75, "upward_expansion": 17.47, "deceleration": 38.37, "rotation_down": 72.34, "downward_expansion": 90.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.518, 6.857455, 7.472615, 7.847881 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.66, "trend_reference": 8.344155, "distance_from_trend": -0.201836, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.957089, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.163011, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.879508, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.252755, "excess_performance": -0.260155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.201836, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054678, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.163011, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160621, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.258795, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030849, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.252755, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.764684, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53391449, "relative_activity": 0.41947, "balance": 1.764684, "dry_up": 0.503862, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114663, "annualized_volatility": 0.497085, "from_high_reference": -0.387874, "from_low_reference": 0.132653 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.344155, "fair_value_reference": 7.957089, "structural_low": 5.88, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.011211, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": -0.010915, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.200348, "worst_return": -0.155949, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.015403, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.021561, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.40884, "worst_return": -0.248561, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.133249, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.0959, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.734807, "worst_return": -0.340822, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 7.357333, 7.8716, 8.11813, 8.387599 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.51, "volume": 61806002, "typical_volume": 152665508.4, "trend": 8.586798, "fair_value": 8.049098, "relative_strength": -26.266875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.181407, "energy": 84.822048, "activity_lines": [ 7.001333, 7.567575, 7.936721, 8.248958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.1, "volume": 81690431, "typical_volume": 144625921.35, "trend": 8.499002, "fair_value": 8.012409, "relative_strength": -30.606369, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.765678, "energy": 88.207267, "activity_lines": [ 6.615333, 7.220949, 7.732627, 8.088519 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.53, "volume": 59644970, "typical_volume": 136984054.4, "trend": 8.420902, "fair_value": 7.981169, "relative_strength": -24.062589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.189541, "energy": 80.102972, "activity_lines": [ 6.526667, 7.004909, 7.588652, 7.961487 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.66, "volume": 53391449, "typical_volume": 127283226.1, "trend": 8.344155, "fair_value": 7.957089, "relative_strength": -25.879508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.582922, "energy": 75.538967, "activity_lines": [ 6.518, 6.857455, 7.472615, 7.847881 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }