{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a698171-e2db-4f26-8111-0d7eaa2038a5",
    "symbol": "688697",
    "name": "Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 21.864,
    "architecture_energy": 18.822,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.472,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.812,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.97,
        "rotation_up": 26.3,
        "upward_expansion": 44.66,
        "deceleration": 80.67,
        "rotation_down": 36.55,
        "downward_expansion": 31.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.027333,
        13.358275,
        13.669616,
        13.131644
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 14.61,
    "trend_reference": 12.446746,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.173801,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.638434,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.515806,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 25.621662,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.364454,
    "excess_performance": 0.407658,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173801,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08303,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.515806,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052435,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.256217,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032854,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.364454,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.825912,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 60856856,
      "relative_activity": 0.971155,
      "balance": 1.825912,
      "dry_up": 0.900707,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.160341,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.727716,
      "from_high_reference": -0.18805,
      "from_low_reference": 0.507824
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.446746,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.638434,
      "structural_low": 9.689459,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.059323,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029541,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.197853,
        "worst_return": -0.165262,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.134339,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.047969,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.148778,
        "worst_return": 0.038632,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.171501,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.054318,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": 0.039899,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": 0.355096,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 59829090.2,
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        "fair_value": 9.594651,
        "relative_strength": 2.512716,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.43,
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        "typical_volume": 60735759.75,
        "trend": 12.240558,
        "fair_value": 9.599619,
        "relative_strength": 2.604352,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.88,
        "volume": 67844500,
        "typical_volume": 61068729.55,
        "trend": 12.314819,
        "fair_value": 9.610918,
        "relative_strength": 14.591597,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.257011,
        "energy": 17.803157,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.61,
        "volume": 60856856,
        "typical_volume": 62664388.25,
        "trend": 12.446746,
        "fair_value": 9.638434,
        "relative_strength": 25.621662,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.864309,
        "energy": 18.821656,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}