{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a761abc-e4ea-4cfb-90ae-2f20414cb8f8",
    "symbol": "KOA",
    "name": "Kongsberg Automotive ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 50.926,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 24.611,
    "architecture_energy": 40.282,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.064,
    "architecture_confidence": 47.905,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.75,
        "rotation_up": 53.16,
        "upward_expansion": 53.34,
        "deceleration": 28.79,
        "rotation_down": 23.08,
        "downward_expansion": 18.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.132,
        2.106636,
        2.081352,
        2.06769
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.13,
    "trend_reference": 2.076433,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.025797,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.789519,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190264,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.716659,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.0,
    "excess_performance": -0.124994,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025797,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016879,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190264,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06996,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037167,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000474,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.128246,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6695226,
      "relative_activity": 0.810805,
      "balance": 2.128246,
      "dry_up": 0.942397,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049801,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.211188,
      "from_high_reference": -0.110647,
      "from_low_reference": 0.48951
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.076433,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.789519,
      "structural_low": 1.86,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.052018,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.055256,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.219931,
        "worst_return": -0.27198,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.119056,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.16124,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.260023,
        "worst_return": -0.348374,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.18816,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.230319,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.300443,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.070304,
        "worst_return": -0.427577,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 1.797673,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.115,
        "volume": 13345775,
        "typical_volume": 9937658.55,
        "trend": 2.071433,
        "fair_value": 1.794821,
        "relative_strength": -0.553987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 1.519246,
        "energy": 3.844617,
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          2.068,
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          2.049405,
          2.054301
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.15,
        "volume": 6933311,
        "typical_volume": 9432966.45,
        "trend": 2.0761,
        "fair_value": 1.792321,
        "relative_strength": -1.524754,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.262486,
        "energy": 16.534544,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.096333,
          2.087,
          2.061271,
          2.05937
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.155,
        "volume": 4153075,
        "typical_volume": 8959861.75,
        "trend": 2.079933,
        "fair_value": 1.790173,
        "relative_strength": -2.053772,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.38413,
        "energy": 32.484568,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.122667,
          2.100091,
          2.073043,
          2.06446
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.13,
        "volume": 6695226,
        "typical_volume": 8257507.75,
        "trend": 2.076433,
        "fair_value": 1.789519,
        "relative_strength": -3.716659,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.611311,
        "energy": 40.282147,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.132,
          2.106636,
          2.081352,
          2.06769
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}