{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a7e82f2-22b6-4920-889b-50cc4f5c679a",
    "symbol": "PFC",
    "name": "Power Finance Corporation Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 67.237,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -16.972,
    "architecture_energy": 19.302,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.603,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.718,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.42,
        "rotation_up": 21.04,
        "upward_expansion": 20.17,
        "deceleration": 60.18,
        "rotation_down": 49.35,
        "downward_expansion": 38.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        415.105243,
        416.337888,
        424.582503,
        423.578876
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 420.0,
    "trend_reference": 416.85902,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.007535,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 389.5968,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.078038,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.859904,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.019818,
    "excess_performance": 0.063528,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007535,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055084,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078038,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.178584,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058599,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155338,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019818,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.383693,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 27880780,
      "relative_activity": 1.042244,
      "balance": 0.383693,
      "dry_up": 1.075822,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039238,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.231201,
      "from_high_reference": -0.136691,
      "from_low_reference": 0.295871
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 416.85902,
      "fair_value_reference": 389.5968,
      "structural_low": 363.149994,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.092568,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039867,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.183973,
        "worst_return": -0.038079,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.032009,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014238,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.461326,
        "worst_return": -0.076269,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.080351,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013157,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.559532,
        "worst_return": -0.112756,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.099504,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.044496,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.32649,
        "worst_return": -0.127483,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.226733,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.213127,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065492,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.035235,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.052647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.213236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.058346,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.103539,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.145461,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022595,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.046387,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010251,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 27797868.25,
        "trend": 414.612253,
        "fair_value": 388.119819,
        "relative_strength": 7.916181,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.156182,
        "energy": 41.812332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 420.0,
        "volume": 27880780,
        "typical_volume": 26750725.15,
        "trend": 416.85902,
        "fair_value": 389.5968,
        "relative_strength": 5.859904,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.972065,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}