{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a865e8c-772c-4f38-91d5-ce9e19dba9c7",
    "symbol": "FHIPO14",
    "name": "Fideicomiso Irrevocable F/2061 FHipo",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 55.402,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 9.438,
    "architecture_energy": 5.86,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.256,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.242,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.95,
        "rotation_up": 30.62,
        "upward_expansion": 51.08,
        "deceleration": 72.08,
        "rotation_down": 28.25,
        "downward_expansion": 29.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.124667,
        14.142182,
        14.202443,
        14.119206
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 14.0,
    "trend_reference": 13.956674,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.003104,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.085385,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.069896,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.661085,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.064905,
    "excess_performance": 0.119572,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003104,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023598,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069896,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062636,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026611,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002783,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064905,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.597757,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 27011,
      "relative_activity": 1.119766,
      "balance": 0.597757,
      "dry_up": 0.688241,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029919,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.155797,
      "from_high_reference": -0.081365,
      "from_low_reference": 0.204914
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.956674,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.085385,
      "structural_low": 12.956181,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.006944,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004701,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.062505,
        "worst_return": -0.068828,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.034255,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.068744,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.059831,
        "worst_return": -0.121226,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.005273,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028523,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.077562,
        "worst_return": -0.098815,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.069343,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.084269,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.11874,
        "worst_return": -0.117979,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.051359,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019796,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034093,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.043819,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.040959,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.037311,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.080126,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.048192,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "trend": 13.230281,
        "fair_value": 12.901966,
        "relative_strength": 0.363473,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 30796.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 32141.1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 33321.85,
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        "relative_strength": -0.239797,
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        "energy": 48.223633,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 33786.35,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 33331.2,
        "trend": 13.684882,
        "fair_value": 12.979683,
        "relative_strength": 5.57105,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.269078,
        "energy": 30.313491,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 13.98,
        "volume": 8997,
        "typical_volume": 32985.3,
        "trend": 13.714314,
        "fair_value": 12.986797,
        "relative_strength": 0.661646,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 20.770945,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 13.752915,
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        "energy": 24.52296,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 26126.15,
        "trend": 13.786421,
        "fair_value": 13.008553,
        "relative_strength": 3.429091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.711149,
        "energy": 18.081291,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.016269
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.9,
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        "typical_volume": 25324.45,
        "trend": 13.80518,
        "fair_value": 13.019397,
        "relative_strength": 1.641876,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 15.081645,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 14.3,
        "volume": 33305,
        "typical_volume": 26488.0,
        "trend": 13.843622,
        "fair_value": 13.03356,
        "relative_strength": 5.462688,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.223306,
        "energy": 16.828991,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.163333,
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          14.201278,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.3,
        "volume": 14295,
        "typical_volume": 26483.65,
        "trend": 13.876984,
        "fair_value": 13.048383,
        "relative_strength": 5.245079,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.532834,
        "energy": 12.575748,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.212,
          14.212501,
          14.2214,
          14.084965
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.03,
        "volume": 10008,
        "typical_volume": 23576.9,
        "trend": 13.906427,
        "fair_value": 13.061475,
        "relative_strength": 3.712183,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.130663,
        "energy": 9.548715,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.149333,
          14.173636,
          14.212358,
          14.094837
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.22,
        "volume": 15093,
        "typical_volume": 23032.95,
        "trend": 13.935853,
        "fair_value": 13.075785,
        "relative_strength": 4.246161,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.327293,
        "energy": 12.759032,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.174667,
          14.180364,
          14.218929,
          14.115067
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.0,
        "volume": 27011,
        "typical_volume": 24122.0,
        "trend": 13.956674,
        "fair_value": 13.085385,
        "relative_strength": 2.661085,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.43773,
        "energy": 5.859731,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.124667,
          14.142182,
          14.202443,
          14.119206
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}